The trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for no Ebola emergency by June 30 stems primarily from the limited scale of the newly confirmed outbreak in remote Ituri province, Democratic Republic of the Congo. As of mid-May 2026, Africa CDC and WHO report only 13 laboratory-confirmed cases amid 246 suspected infections and roughly 65 deaths, with rapid deployment of response teams and contact tracing underway in a region historically prone to contained flare-ups. This pattern aligns with most prior DRC outbreaks that resolved without triggering a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Key variables that could alter the outlook include accelerated cross-border transmission into Uganda or urban centers, or a sharp rise in confirmed cases exceeding typical containment thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Ebola emergency by June 30?
Ebola emergency by June 30?
最新
最新
2026-06-30
最新
最新
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares Ebola a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for no Ebola emergency by June 30 stems primarily from the limited scale of the newly confirmed outbreak in remote Ituri province, Democratic Republic of the Congo. As of mid-May 2026, Africa CDC and WHO report only 13 laboratory-confirmed cases amid 246 suspected infections and roughly 65 deaths, with rapid deployment of response teams and contact tracing underway in a region historically prone to contained flare-ups. This pattern aligns with most prior DRC outbreaks that resolved without triggering a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Key variables that could alter the outlook include accelerated cross-border transmission into Uganda or urban centers, or a sharp rise in confirmed cases exceeding typical containment thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares Ebola a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
交易量
$1,530结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares Ebola a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for no Ebola emergency by June 30 stems primarily from the limited scale of the newly confirmed outbreak in remote Ituri province, Democratic Republic of the Congo. As of mid-May 2026, Africa CDC and WHO report only 13 laboratory-confirmed cases amid 246 suspected infections and roughly 65 deaths, with rapid deployment of response teams and contact tracing underway in a region historically prone to contained flare-ups. This pattern aligns with most prior DRC outbreaks that resolved without triggering a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Key variables that could alter the outlook include accelerated cross-border transmission into Uganda or urban centers, or a sharp rise in confirmed cases exceeding typical containment thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares Ebola a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a WHO determination that Ebola, Ebola virus disease, or an outbreak of Ebola is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,530结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability for no Ebola emergency by June 30 stems primarily from the limited scale of the newly confirmed outbreak in remote Ituri province, Democratic Republic of the Congo. As of mid-May 2026, Africa CDC and WHO report only 13 laboratory-confirmed cases amid 246 suspected infections and roughly 65 deaths, with rapid deployment of response teams and contact tracing underway in a region historically prone to contained flare-ups. This pattern aligns with most prior DRC outbreaks that resolved without triggering a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Key variables that could alter the outlook include accelerated cross-border transmission into Uganda or urban centers, or a sharp rise in confirmed cases exceeding typical containment thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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