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icon for Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

icon for Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

11% 概率
Polymarket
最新
11% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The recent confirmation of an Ebola outbreak in remote eastern Democratic Republic of Congo, with 246 suspected cases and 65 deaths reported as of mid-May, remains localized to Ituri province and has produced only one imported case in neighboring Uganda. No confirmed or suspected cases have reached the United States, consistent with CDC monitoring and the absence of any detections since 2014. The virus spreads primarily through direct contact with bodily fluids, limiting airborne or casual transmission, while U.S. entry screening, rapid contact tracing, and established public-health infrastructure further reduce importation risk over the next six weeks. Historical patterns show that even larger African outbreaks rarely produce U.S. cases when response efforts begin promptly.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$173
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The recent confirmation of an Ebola outbreak in remote eastern Democratic Republic of Congo, with 246 suspected cases and 65 deaths reported as of mid-May, remains localized to Ituri province and has produced only one imported case in neighboring Uganda. No confirmed or suspected cases have reached the United States, consistent with CDC monitoring and the absence of any detections since 2014. The virus spreads primarily through direct contact with bodily fluids, limiting airborne or casual transmission, while U.S. entry screening, rapid contact tracing, and established public-health infrastructure further reduce importation risk over the next six weeks. Historical patterns show that even larger African outbreaks rarely produce U.S. cases when response efforts begin promptly.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$173
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Ebola case in the US by June 30?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 11%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 11¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 11%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Ebola case in the US by June 30?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于May 15, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Ebola case in the US by June 30?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Ebola case in the US by June 30?"的当前概率为 11%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 11%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Ebola case in the US by June 30?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。