Official observations from Wellington International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 14, 2026, peaked at 15°C around midday under partly cloudy skies with moderate winds, aligning with MetService and NIWA forecasts of 14–15°C amid a cool southerly airflow typical for early autumn in the region. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this recorded maximum, as evening readings have fallen to 13°C with overcast conditions limiting solar heating after sunset. Historical May averages hover near 14°C, reinforcing the positioning; only an unrealistic late-day surge from clearing skies and shifting winds—unlikely given current model consensus—could challenge it, with final daily data expected from NIWA shortly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on May 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 14?
15°C 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C or higher <1%
$59,070 交易量
$59,070 交易量
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
15°C 100.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
18°C or higher <1%
$59,070 交易量
$59,070 交易量
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Official observations from Wellington International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 14, 2026, peaked at 15°C around midday under partly cloudy skies with moderate winds, aligning with MetService and NIWA forecasts of 14–15°C amid a cool southerly airflow typical for early autumn in the region. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this recorded maximum, as evening readings have fallen to 13°C with overcast conditions limiting solar heating after sunset. Historical May averages hover near 14°C, reinforcing the positioning; only an unrealistic late-day surge from clearing skies and shifting winds—unlikely given current model consensus—could challenge it, with final daily data expected from NIWA shortly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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