Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest among 36°C (21%), 37°C (30.5%), and 38°C (20.5%) for Jeddah's May 16 high temperature, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty after thunderstorms swept the region on May 12, temporarily cooling conditions per National Center for Meteorology (NCM) reports. With high pressure now rebuilding over the Arabian Peninsula, clear skies and hazy sunshine are expected, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, the likely resolution station. Key differentiators include sea breeze timing from the Red Sea—early onset favoring 36°C via coastal moderation, delayed allowing 38°C peaks—and variable haze reducing insolation; GFS and ECMWF ensembles show this 1-2°C spread. Overnight model updates from NCM will refine odds ahead of tomorrow's observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 16?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 16?
37°C 35%
38°C 28%
39°C or higher 21%
36°C 21%
最新
$12,108 交易量
最新
$12,108 交易量
2026-05-16
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
11%
36°C
21%
37°C
35%
38°C
28%
39°C or higher
21%
37°C 35%
38°C 28%
39°C or higher 21%
36°C 21%
最新
$12,108 交易量
最新
$12,108 交易量
2026-05-16
29°C or below
$922 交易量
<1%
30°C
$981 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,193 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,867 交易量
<1%
33°C
$3,653 交易量
<1%
34°C
$1,615 交易量
<1%
35°C
$290 交易量
11%
36°C
$309 交易量
21%
37°C
$271 交易量
35%
38°C
$274 交易量
28%
39°C or higher
$732 交易量
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest among 36°C (21%), 37°C (30.5%), and 38°C (20.5%) for Jeddah's May 16 high temperature, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty after thunderstorms swept the region on May 12, temporarily cooling conditions per National Center for Meteorology (NCM) reports. With high pressure now rebuilding over the Arabian Peninsula, clear skies and hazy sunshine are expected, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, the likely resolution station. Key differentiators include sea breeze timing from the Red Sea—early onset favoring 36°C via coastal moderation, delayed allowing 38°C peaks—and variable haze reducing insolation; GFS and ECMWF ensembles show this 1-2°C spread. Overnight model updates from NCM will refine odds ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
交易量
$12,108结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:37 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest among 36°C (21%), 37°C (30.5%), and 38°C (20.5%) for Jeddah's May 16 high temperature, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty after thunderstorms swept the region on May 12, temporarily cooling conditions per National Center for Meteorology (NCM) reports. With high pressure now rebuilding over the Arabian Peninsula, clear skies and hazy sunshine are expected, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, the likely resolution station. Key differentiators include sea breeze timing from the Red Sea—early onset favoring 36°C via coastal moderation, delayed allowing 38°C peaks—and variable haze reducing insolation; GFS and ECMWF ensembles show this 1-2°C spread. Overnight model updates from NCM will refine odds ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$12,108结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:37 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest among 36°C (21%), 37°C (30.5%), and 38°C (20.5%) for Jeddah's May 16 high temperature, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty after thunderstorms swept the region on May 12, temporarily cooling conditions per National Center for Meteorology (NCM) reports. With high pressure now rebuilding over the Arabian Peninsula, clear skies and hazy sunshine are expected, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, the likely resolution station. Key differentiators include sea breeze timing from the Red Sea—early onset favoring 36°C via coastal moderation, delayed allowing 38°C peaks—and variable haze reducing insolation; GFS and ECMWF ensembles show this 1-2°C spread. Overnight model updates from NCM will refine odds ahead of tomorrow's observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题