Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 22°C (33.5%) over 21°C (30.0%) for Moscow's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting latest forecast models like those aggregated on Yandex Weather projecting afternoon peaks near 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light south-southeasterly winds at 2-4 m/s fostering diurnal heating. This follows a sharp warming trend from May 12's cooler 17-18°C high amid clouds and light rain, with May 13 expected to hit 23°C under mostly clear conditions, introducing southerly flow ahead of a hot air mass from Kazakhstan arriving May 15-16. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution—thicker afternoon clouds could cap at 21°C, while more sun favors 22-23°C—and minor model spreads in boundary layer forecasts. Watch evening updates from Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF runs, as observations tomorrow will refine short-range uncertainty typical in mid-May spring transitions above the 18-19°C climatological norm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on May 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 14?
22°C 41%
21°C 33%
23°C 17%
20°C 8%
最新
$10,092 交易量
最新
$10,092 交易量
2026-05-14
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
33%
22°C
41%
23°C
17%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 41%
21°C 33%
23°C 17%
20°C 8%
最新
$10,092 交易量
最新
$10,092 交易量
2026-05-14
17°C or below
$1,591 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,175 交易量
1%
19°C
$984 交易量
3%
20°C
$1,197 交易量
8%
21°C
$374 交易量
33%
22°C
$383 交易量
41%
23°C
$442 交易量
17%
24°C
$648 交易量
4%
25°C
$1,242 交易量
1%
26°C
$490 交易量
1%
27°C or higher
$1,744 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 22°C (33.5%) over 21°C (30.0%) for Moscow's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting latest forecast models like those aggregated on Yandex Weather projecting afternoon peaks near 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light south-southeasterly winds at 2-4 m/s fostering diurnal heating. This follows a sharp warming trend from May 12's cooler 17-18°C high amid clouds and light rain, with May 13 expected to hit 23°C under mostly clear conditions, introducing southerly flow ahead of a hot air mass from Kazakhstan arriving May 15-16. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution—thicker afternoon clouds could cap at 21°C, while more sun favors 22-23°C—and minor model spreads in boundary layer forecasts. Watch evening updates from Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF runs, as observations tomorrow will refine short-range uncertainty typical in mid-May spring transitions above the 18-19°C climatological norm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$10,092结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 22°C (33.5%) over 21°C (30.0%) for Moscow's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting latest forecast models like those aggregated on Yandex Weather projecting afternoon peaks near 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light south-southeasterly winds at 2-4 m/s fostering diurnal heating. This follows a sharp warming trend from May 12's cooler 17-18°C high amid clouds and light rain, with May 13 expected to hit 23°C under mostly clear conditions, introducing southerly flow ahead of a hot air mass from Kazakhstan arriving May 15-16. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution—thicker afternoon clouds could cap at 21°C, while more sun favors 22-23°C—and minor model spreads in boundary layer forecasts. Watch evening updates from Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF runs, as observations tomorrow will refine short-range uncertainty typical in mid-May spring transitions above the 18-19°C climatological norm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$10,092结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward 22°C (33.5%) over 21°C (30.0%) for Moscow's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting latest forecast models like those aggregated on Yandex Weather projecting afternoon peaks near 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light south-southeasterly winds at 2-4 m/s fostering diurnal heating. This follows a sharp warming trend from May 12's cooler 17-18°C high amid clouds and light rain, with May 13 expected to hit 23°C under mostly clear conditions, introducing southerly flow ahead of a hot air mass from Kazakhstan arriving May 15-16. Key differentiators include cloud cover evolution—thicker afternoon clouds could cap at 21°C, while more sun favors 22-23°C—and minor model spreads in boundary layer forecasts. Watch evening updates from Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF runs, as observations tomorrow will refine short-range uncertainty typical in mid-May spring transitions above the 18-19°C climatological norm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题