Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts place London’s minimum temperature for May 17 between 9 °C and 11 °C, driven by mild southwesterly Atlantic flow that limits radiative cooling under variable overnight cloud cover. Clear intervals could allow brief dips toward 9 °C through enhanced long-wave radiation loss, while persistent low-level moisture and light winds favor readings near 11 °C by suppressing boundary-layer mixing. This tight clustering matches historical May minima at Heathrow and explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 10 °C and 11 °C outcomes. Tonight’s updated model runs will likely refine cloud-timing details ahead of official observed resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日伦敦最低气温？
5月17日伦敦最低气温？
11°C 32%
10°C 28%
9°C 25%
8°C 4.7%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
2°C或以下
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
5%
9°C
25%
10°C
30%
11°C
32%
12°C或更高
4%
11°C 32%
10°C 28%
9°C 25%
8°C 4.7%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
2°C或以下
$170 交易量
<1%
3°C
$337 交易量
<1%
4°C
$200 交易量
<1%
5°C
$293 交易量
<1%
6°C
$466 交易量
<1%
7°C
$309 交易量
1%
8°C
$371 交易量
5%
9°C
$80 交易量
25%
10°C
$102 交易量
30%
11°C
$124 交易量
32%
12°C或更高
$407 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts place London’s minimum temperature for May 17 between 9 °C and 11 °C, driven by mild southwesterly Atlantic flow that limits radiative cooling under variable overnight cloud cover. Clear intervals could allow brief dips toward 9 °C through enhanced long-wave radiation loss, while persistent low-level moisture and light winds favor readings near 11 °C by suppressing boundary-layer mixing. This tight clustering matches historical May minima at Heathrow and explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 10 °C and 11 °C outcomes. Tonight’s updated model runs will likely refine cloud-timing details ahead of official observed resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
交易量
$2,856结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts place London’s minimum temperature for May 17 between 9 °C and 11 °C, driven by mild southwesterly Atlantic flow that limits radiative cooling under variable overnight cloud cover. Clear intervals could allow brief dips toward 9 °C through enhanced long-wave radiation loss, while persistent low-level moisture and light winds favor readings near 11 °C by suppressing boundary-layer mixing. This tight clustering matches historical May minima at Heathrow and explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 10 °C and 11 °C outcomes. Tonight’s updated model runs will likely refine cloud-timing details ahead of official observed resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,856结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts place London’s minimum temperature for May 17 between 9 °C and 11 °C, driven by mild southwesterly Atlantic flow that limits radiative cooling under variable overnight cloud cover. Clear intervals could allow brief dips toward 9 °C through enhanced long-wave radiation loss, while persistent low-level moisture and light winds favor readings near 11 °C by suppressing boundary-layer mixing. This tight clustering matches historical May minima at Heathrow and explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 10 °C and 11 °C outcomes. Tonight’s updated model runs will likely refine cloud-timing details ahead of official observed resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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