Official preliminary observations from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station—the market's authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—recorded New York City's highest temperature on May 13 at 70-71°F, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. Mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gusty southerly winds from a weak frontal passage suppressed solar heating, aligning precisely with National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) that projected peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s. Hourly data showed temperatures topping out near 70°F around midday before cooling. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal but could arise from post-processing data revisions or sensor quality-control adjustments during finalization, expected within 24-48 hours; historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on May 13?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 13?
70-71°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$157,273 交易量
$157,273 交易量
2026-05-13
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$157,273 交易量
$157,273 交易量
2026-05-13
55°F or below
$4,729 交易量
No
56-57°F
$3,942 交易量
No
58-59°F
$4,368 交易量
No
60-61°F
$8,276 交易量
No
62-63°F
$9,435 交易量
No
64-65°F
$12,238 交易量
No
66-67°F
$20,308 交易量
No
68-69°F
$22,029 交易量
No
70-71°F
$25,334 交易量
Yes
72-73°F
$24,674 交易量
No
74°F or higher
$21,939 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official preliminary observations from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station—the market's authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—recorded New York City's highest temperature on May 13 at 70-71°F, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. Mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gusty southerly winds from a weak frontal passage suppressed solar heating, aligning precisely with National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) that projected peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s. Hourly data showed temperatures topping out near 70°F around midday before cooling. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal but could arise from post-processing data revisions or sensor quality-control adjustments during finalization, expected within 24-48 hours; historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
交易量
$157,273结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:34 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official preliminary observations from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station—the market's authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—recorded New York City's highest temperature on May 13 at 70-71°F, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. Mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gusty southerly winds from a weak frontal passage suppressed solar heating, aligning precisely with National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) that projected peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s. Hourly data showed temperatures topping out near 70°F around midday before cooling. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal but could arise from post-processing data revisions or sensor quality-control adjustments during finalization, expected within 24-48 hours; historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$157,273结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:34 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official preliminary observations from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station—the market's authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—recorded New York City's highest temperature on May 13 at 70-71°F, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. Mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gusty southerly winds from a weak frontal passage suppressed solar heating, aligning precisely with National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) that projected peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s. Hourly data showed temperatures topping out near 70°F around midday before cooling. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal but could arise from post-processing data revisions or sensor quality-control adjustments during finalization, expected within 24-48 hours; historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题