Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Munich's highest temperature today, with 14°C or higher edging out 13°C amid divergent guidance from ECMWF ensembles—implying modest afternoon warming to around 13°C if partial cloud breaks allow increased insolation—and cooler GFS runs near 12°C under persistent overcast skies. Morning observations from DWD stations and Munich Airport (EDDM) show temperatures starting at 6–8°C under cloudy conditions influenced by a weak frontal system, typical for mid-May variability when historical highs average 18°C but synoptic patterns suppress peaks. Key differentiator is post-noon cloud evolution; real-time hourly updates from Deutscher Wetterdienst will refine the outcome as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on May 14?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 14?
14°C or higher 52%
13°C 49%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$89,159 交易量
$89,159 交易量
2026-05-14
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
49%
14°C or higher
52%
14°C or higher 52%
13°C 49%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$89,159 交易量
$89,159 交易量
2026-05-14
11°C
$17,966 交易量
<1%
12°C
$23,911 交易量
<1%
13°C
$6,942 交易量
49%
14°C or higher
$9,066 交易量
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Munich's highest temperature today, with 14°C or higher edging out 13°C amid divergent guidance from ECMWF ensembles—implying modest afternoon warming to around 13°C if partial cloud breaks allow increased insolation—and cooler GFS runs near 12°C under persistent overcast skies. Morning observations from DWD stations and Munich Airport (EDDM) show temperatures starting at 6–8°C under cloudy conditions influenced by a weak frontal system, typical for mid-May variability when historical highs average 18°C but synoptic patterns suppress peaks. Key differentiator is post-noon cloud evolution; real-time hourly updates from Deutscher Wetterdienst will refine the outcome as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
交易量
$89,159结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Munich's highest temperature today, with 14°C or higher edging out 13°C amid divergent guidance from ECMWF ensembles—implying modest afternoon warming to around 13°C if partial cloud breaks allow increased insolation—and cooler GFS runs near 12°C under persistent overcast skies. Morning observations from DWD stations and Munich Airport (EDDM) show temperatures starting at 6–8°C under cloudy conditions influenced by a weak frontal system, typical for mid-May variability when historical highs average 18°C but synoptic patterns suppress peaks. Key differentiator is post-noon cloud evolution; real-time hourly updates from Deutscher Wetterdienst will refine the outcome as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$89,159结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Munich's highest temperature today, with 14°C or higher edging out 13°C amid divergent guidance from ECMWF ensembles—implying modest afternoon warming to around 13°C if partial cloud breaks allow increased insolation—and cooler GFS runs near 12°C under persistent overcast skies. Morning observations from DWD stations and Munich Airport (EDDM) show temperatures starting at 6–8°C under cloudy conditions influenced by a weak frontal system, typical for mid-May variability when historical highs average 18°C but synoptic patterns suppress peaks. Key differentiator is post-noon cloud evolution; real-time hourly updates from Deutscher Wetterdienst will refine the outcome as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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