Official METAR observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport (LTAC) record a midday peak of 22°C on May 13 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds around 15 kt, solidifying trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Morning surface data showed overnight lows near 12°C, fueling typical diurnal heating aligned with mid-May climatology—average highs of 20-22°C per Turkish State Meteorological Service records—and recent ECMWF/GFS forecast consensus capping further intensification. While weather models carry inherent uncertainty, declining solar angles into evening limit realistic scenarios for exceeding 22°C, such as prolonged clearing and enhanced insolation, as final Weather Underground LTAC data determines resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on May 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 13?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,567 交易量
$73,567 交易量
2026-05-13
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,567 交易量
$73,567 交易量
2026-05-13
15°C or below
$1,107 交易量
No
16°C
$2,086 交易量
No
17°C
$1,110 交易量
No
18°C
$1,817 交易量
No
19°C
$2,955 交易量
No
20°C
$7,879 交易量
No
21°C
$8,338 交易量
No
22°C
$15,934 交易量
Yes
23°C
$11,909 交易量
No
24°C
$10,314 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$10,116 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official METAR observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport (LTAC) record a midday peak of 22°C on May 13 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds around 15 kt, solidifying trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Morning surface data showed overnight lows near 12°C, fueling typical diurnal heating aligned with mid-May climatology—average highs of 20-22°C per Turkish State Meteorological Service records—and recent ECMWF/GFS forecast consensus capping further intensification. While weather models carry inherent uncertainty, declining solar angles into evening limit realistic scenarios for exceeding 22°C, such as prolonged clearing and enhanced insolation, as final Weather Underground LTAC data determines resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
交易量
$73,567结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official METAR observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport (LTAC) record a midday peak of 22°C on May 13 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds around 15 kt, solidifying trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Morning surface data showed overnight lows near 12°C, fueling typical diurnal heating aligned with mid-May climatology—average highs of 20-22°C per Turkish State Meteorological Service records—and recent ECMWF/GFS forecast consensus capping further intensification. While weather models carry inherent uncertainty, declining solar angles into evening limit realistic scenarios for exceeding 22°C, such as prolonged clearing and enhanced insolation, as final Weather Underground LTAC data determines resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$73,567结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official METAR observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport (LTAC) record a midday peak of 22°C on May 13 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds around 15 kt, solidifying trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Morning surface data showed overnight lows near 12°C, fueling typical diurnal heating aligned with mid-May climatology—average highs of 20-22°C per Turkish State Meteorological Service records—and recent ECMWF/GFS forecast consensus capping further intensification. While weather models carry inherent uncertainty, declining solar angles into evening limit realistic scenarios for exceeding 22°C, such as prolonged clearing and enhanced insolation, as final Weather Underground LTAC data determines resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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