Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Ankara's highest temperature on May 17 around 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and moderate solar heating, driving trader consensus toward 23°C or higher at 47% implied probability. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 22°C amid seasonal warming trends, following recent observations of 24°C on May 12 and 22°C on May 14 that exceeded early-month norms. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud cover or light northerly winds, which could cap peaks at 20-21°C as reflected in those outcomes' 20-22% shares. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs expected May 16 may refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日安卡拉的最高温度？
5月17日安卡拉的最高温度？
19°C 33%
20°C 31%
18°C 17%
21°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
17%
19°C
33%
20°C
31%
21°C
14%
22°C
5%
23°C或以上
1%
19°C 33%
20°C 31%
18°C 17%
21°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
13°C或以下
$568 交易量
<1%
14°C
$151 交易量
<1%
15°C
$296 交易量
1%
16°C
$130 交易量
3%
17°C
$97 交易量
5%
18°C
$230 交易量
17%
19°C
$308 交易量
33%
20°C
$153 交易量
31%
21°C
$248 交易量
14%
22°C
$166 交易量
5%
23°C或以上
$700 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Ankara's highest temperature on May 17 around 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and moderate solar heating, driving trader consensus toward 23°C or higher at 47% implied probability. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 22°C amid seasonal warming trends, following recent observations of 24°C on May 12 and 22°C on May 14 that exceeded early-month norms. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud cover or light northerly winds, which could cap peaks at 20-21°C as reflected in those outcomes' 20-22% shares. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs expected May 16 may refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,047结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Ankara's highest temperature on May 17 around 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and moderate solar heating, driving trader consensus toward 23°C or higher at 47% implied probability. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 22°C amid seasonal warming trends, following recent observations of 24°C on May 12 and 22°C on May 14 that exceeded early-month norms. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud cover or light northerly winds, which could cap peaks at 20-21°C as reflected in those outcomes' 20-22% shares. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs expected May 16 may refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,047结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Ankara's highest temperature on May 17 around 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and moderate solar heating, driving trader consensus toward 23°C or higher at 47% implied probability. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 22°C amid seasonal warming trends, following recent observations of 24°C on May 12 and 22°C on May 14 that exceeded early-month norms. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud cover or light northerly winds, which could cap peaks at 20-21°C as reflected in those outcomes' 20-22% shares. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs expected May 16 may refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题