Trader consensus clusters tightly around 23°C (23.5%) and 24°C (25.5%) for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 15, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and international model ensembles projecting peaks near 23.5°C amid partly cloudy skies and southeasterly sea breezes moderating coastal warming. Differentiating factors include model spread on low-level cloud cover and boundary layer mixing—ECMWF favoring 22-23°C with persistent overcast, GFS leaning 24°C on brief solar breaks—against a backdrop of recent post-heatwave cooling in Shandong province. Historical mid-May highs average 22°C; overnight forecast refinements could tip the balance before official Qingdao station measurements resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?
23°C 25%
24°C 22%
22°C 17%
25°C 13%
21°C or below
12%
22°C
19%
23°C
25%
24°C
22%
25°C
13%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 25%
24°C 22%
22°C 17%
25°C 13%
21°C or below
12%
22°C
19%
23°C
25%
24°C
22%
25°C
13%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus clusters tightly around 23°C (23.5%) and 24°C (25.5%) for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 15, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and international model ensembles projecting peaks near 23.5°C amid partly cloudy skies and southeasterly sea breezes moderating coastal warming. Differentiating factors include model spread on low-level cloud cover and boundary layer mixing—ECMWF favoring 22-23°C with persistent overcast, GFS leaning 24°C on brief solar breaks—against a backdrop of recent post-heatwave cooling in Shandong province. Historical mid-May highs average 22°C; overnight forecast refinements could tip the balance before official Qingdao station measurements resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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