Official observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground and National Weather Service data, recorded a daily high temperature of 60-61°F on May 14, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this bin. Cool marine layer persistence under overcast skies suppressed daytime heating, with surface measurements peaking mid-afternoon amid northwest winds and dew points near 50°F—consistent with mid-May climatology averaging 63°F highs but cooler than early month's record 81°F spikes. Minimal uncertainty remains, as quality-controlled NOAA data typically confirms preliminary airport reports; challenges would require rare sensor recalibration revealing a higher unreported peak, unlikely given aligned METAR sequences and model reanalysis. Final resolution awaits standard 24-hour validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seattle on May 14?
60-61°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$86,958 交易量
$86,958 交易量
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$86,958 交易量
$86,958 交易量
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground and National Weather Service data, recorded a daily high temperature of 60-61°F on May 14, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this bin. Cool marine layer persistence under overcast skies suppressed daytime heating, with surface measurements peaking mid-afternoon amid northwest winds and dew points near 50°F—consistent with mid-May climatology averaging 63°F highs but cooler than early month's record 81°F spikes. Minimal uncertainty remains, as quality-controlled NOAA data typically confirms preliminary airport reports; challenges would require rare sensor recalibration revealing a higher unreported peak, unlikely given aligned METAR sequences and model reanalysis. Final resolution awaits standard 24-hour validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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