Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 16–17°C at the official Ministro Pistarini station for May 18, driven by a persistent post-frontal southerly flow that advects cooler maritime air and limits surface heating under partly cloudy skies. This pattern has suppressed temperatures 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 18–19°C following stronger highs earlier in the week. Global models including GFS and ECMWF ensembles show tight agreement within a 15–18°C envelope, with minimal urban heat-island boost at resolution sites and moderate winds reducing peak insolation. Traders have converged on the 16°C and 17°C outcomes as the most probable given this stable synoptic setup, though afternoon SMN updates or slight cloud-cover variations could still shift the final reading by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
17°C 28%
16°C 24%
18°C 17%
15°C 11%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
6%
15°C
11%
16°C
29%
17°C
28%
18°C
17%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
1%
17°C 28%
16°C 24%
18°C 17%
15°C 11%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
6%
15°C
11%
16°C
29%
17°C
28%
18°C
17%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 16–17°C at the official Ministro Pistarini station for May 18, driven by a persistent post-frontal southerly flow that advects cooler maritime air and limits surface heating under partly cloudy skies. This pattern has suppressed temperatures 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 18–19°C following stronger highs earlier in the week. Global models including GFS and ECMWF ensembles show tight agreement within a 15–18°C envelope, with minimal urban heat-island boost at resolution sites and moderate winds reducing peak insolation. Traders have converged on the 16°C and 17°C outcomes as the most probable given this stable synoptic setup, though afternoon SMN updates or slight cloud-cover variations could still shift the final reading by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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