Latest forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum of 14–15 °C in Buenos Aires on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow that restricts heating. This places the market-implied probabilities firmly on the 14 °C and 15 °C outcomes, reflecting a post-frontal air mass that has suppressed readings 3–4 °C below the May climatological average of 17–19 °C. Ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models shows tight agreement within a 13–16 °C envelope, with 1–2 °C uncertainty stemming from variable afternoon cloud cover. Resolution will hinge on official observations at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, where urban heat-island effects at alternate stations could nudge the peak slightly higher if skies clear more than expected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度?
14°C 39%
15°C 27%
13°C 18%
16°C 10%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
8%
13°C
18%
14°C
39%
15°C
27%
16°C
10%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 39%
15°C 27%
13°C 18%
16°C 10%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
8%
13°C
18%
14°C
39%
15°C
27%
16°C
10%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum of 14–15 °C in Buenos Aires on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly flow that restricts heating. This places the market-implied probabilities firmly on the 14 °C and 15 °C outcomes, reflecting a post-frontal air mass that has suppressed readings 3–4 °C below the May climatological average of 17–19 °C. Ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models shows tight agreement within a 13–16 °C envelope, with 1–2 °C uncertainty stemming from variable afternoon cloud cover. Resolution will hinge on official observations at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, where urban heat-island effects at alternate stations could nudge the peak slightly higher if skies clear more than expected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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