Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster around 31–35°C for Jakarta's May 17 peak temperature, mirroring the spread in BMKG short-range forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs of 32–34°C under early dry season conditions with high equatorial solar insolation and urban heat island effects at Halim Perdanakusuma station. Light rain threats and cloud cover, indicated at 70–90% probabilities, could suppress peaks toward 31–32°C, while clearer skies and suppressed convection might push toward 34–35°C, consistent with recent days' 33–35°C observations and a drier-than-normal 2026 dry season per BMKG. New model runs and hourly BMKG updates by May 16 will likely refine this uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日雅加达的最高温度？
5月17日雅加达的最高温度？
32°C 32%
33°C 32%
34°C 18%
31°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
7%
32°C
32%
33°C
32%
34°C
18%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C或更高
<1%
32°C 32%
33°C 32%
34°C 18%
31°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
27°C或以下
$852 交易量
<1%
28°C
$296 交易量
<1%
29°C
$179 交易量
1%
30°C
$67 交易量
6%
31°C
$559 交易量
7%
32°C
$63 交易量
32%
33°C
$139 交易量
32%
34°C
$275 交易量
18%
35°C
$77 交易量
4%
36°C
$360 交易量
2%
37°C或更高
$447 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster around 31–35°C for Jakarta's May 17 peak temperature, mirroring the spread in BMKG short-range forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs of 32–34°C under early dry season conditions with high equatorial solar insolation and urban heat island effects at Halim Perdanakusuma station. Light rain threats and cloud cover, indicated at 70–90% probabilities, could suppress peaks toward 31–32°C, while clearer skies and suppressed convection might push toward 34–35°C, consistent with recent days' 33–35°C observations and a drier-than-normal 2026 dry season per BMKG. New model runs and hourly BMKG updates by May 16 will likely refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$3,304结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster around 31–35°C for Jakarta's May 17 peak temperature, mirroring the spread in BMKG short-range forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs of 32–34°C under early dry season conditions with high equatorial solar insolation and urban heat island effects at Halim Perdanakusuma station. Light rain threats and cloud cover, indicated at 70–90% probabilities, could suppress peaks toward 31–32°C, while clearer skies and suppressed convection might push toward 34–35°C, consistent with recent days' 33–35°C observations and a drier-than-normal 2026 dry season per BMKG. New model runs and hourly BMKG updates by May 16 will likely refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,304结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight cluster around 31–35°C for Jakarta's May 17 peak temperature, mirroring the spread in BMKG short-range forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF, which project highs of 32–34°C under early dry season conditions with high equatorial solar insolation and urban heat island effects at Halim Perdanakusuma station. Light rain threats and cloud cover, indicated at 70–90% probabilities, could suppress peaks toward 31–32°C, while clearer skies and suppressed convection might push toward 34–35°C, consistent with recent days' 33–35°C observations and a drier-than-normal 2026 dry season per BMKG. New model runs and hourly BMKG updates by May 16 will likely refine this uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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