Latest MetService forecasts for Wellington on May 18 project a daytime maximum of 13–14 °C under fine, settled conditions driven by southeasterly flow shifting to light northeasterlies, consistent with mid-autumn climatology where average highs sit near 14 °C. Short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows tight agreement on modest diurnal warming with minimal cloud cover and low wind speeds that limit mixing, positioning 14 °C as the most probable outcome. Minor forecast adjustments overnight or localized microclimate variations at official observation sites could still shift the realized high into the 13 °C or 15 °C bin, explaining the secondary market weight on those temperatures. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日惠灵顿的最高温度？
5月18日惠灵顿的最高温度？
14°C 49%
15°C 28%
13°C 15%
16°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
15%
14°C
49%
15°C
28%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C或以上
<1%
14°C 49%
15°C 28%
13°C 15%
16°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
8°C或以下
$576 交易量
<1%
9°C
$225 交易量
<1%
10°C
$123 交易量
1%
11°C
$278 交易量
1%
12°C
$169 交易量
5%
13°C
$102 交易量
15%
14°C
$317 交易量
49%
15°C
$141 交易量
28%
16°C
$92 交易量
6%
17°C
$14 交易量
1%
18°C或以上
$135 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest MetService forecasts for Wellington on May 18 project a daytime maximum of 13–14 °C under fine, settled conditions driven by southeasterly flow shifting to light northeasterlies, consistent with mid-autumn climatology where average highs sit near 14 °C. Short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows tight agreement on modest diurnal warming with minimal cloud cover and low wind speeds that limit mixing, positioning 14 °C as the most probable outcome. Minor forecast adjustments overnight or localized microclimate variations at official observation sites could still shift the realized high into the 13 °C or 15 °C bin, explaining the secondary market weight on those temperatures. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,167结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest MetService forecasts for Wellington on May 18 project a daytime maximum of 13–14 °C under fine, settled conditions driven by southeasterly flow shifting to light northeasterlies, consistent with mid-autumn climatology where average highs sit near 14 °C. Short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows tight agreement on modest diurnal warming with minimal cloud cover and low wind speeds that limit mixing, positioning 14 °C as the most probable outcome. Minor forecast adjustments overnight or localized microclimate variations at official observation sites could still shift the realized high into the 13 °C or 15 °C bin, explaining the secondary market weight on those temperatures. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,167结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest MetService forecasts for Wellington on May 18 project a daytime maximum of 13–14 °C under fine, settled conditions driven by southeasterly flow shifting to light northeasterlies, consistent with mid-autumn climatology where average highs sit near 14 °C. Short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows tight agreement on modest diurnal warming with minimal cloud cover and low wind speeds that limit mixing, positioning 14 °C as the most probable outcome. Minor forecast adjustments overnight or localized microclimate variations at official observation sites could still shift the realized high into the 13 °C or 15 °C bin, explaining the secondary market weight on those temperatures. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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