Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow on May 18 point to a warm air mass advecting northward ahead of an approaching Atlantic front, supporting maximum temperatures near 27–29 °C at official stations such as VDNKh. Ensemble guidance from global models shows limited spread around this range, with daytime mixing and light southerly winds favoring the upper end of the distribution while any earlier cloud cover or showers could cap readings closer to 26 °C. Historical mid-May climatology places typical highs at 18–20 °C, so the current setup represents a 7–10 °C positive anomaly driven by persistent high pressure to the south. Updated model runs expected later today will refine timing of the front’s arrival and determine whether the daily peak crosses the 29 °C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于莫斯科5月18日最高气温?
28°C 20%
29°C 20%
27°C 18%
30°C 17%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
20%
28°C
20%
29°C
20%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
17%
28°C 20%
29°C 20%
27°C 18%
30°C 17%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
20%
28°C
20%
29°C
20%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow on May 18 point to a warm air mass advecting northward ahead of an approaching Atlantic front, supporting maximum temperatures near 27–29 °C at official stations such as VDNKh. Ensemble guidance from global models shows limited spread around this range, with daytime mixing and light southerly winds favoring the upper end of the distribution while any earlier cloud cover or showers could cap readings closer to 26 °C. Historical mid-May climatology places typical highs at 18–20 °C, so the current setup represents a 7–10 °C positive anomaly driven by persistent high pressure to the south. Updated model runs expected later today will refine timing of the front’s arrival and determine whether the daily peak crosses the 29 °C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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