Latest KNMI forecasts project a maximum temperature of 12°C in Amsterdam on May 15 amid persistent cool northerly winds (NW 3) ushering in maritime air masses and a 70% chance of scattered showers, aligning trader sentiment with 11°C (50.5% implied probability) and 12°C (25%) as frontrunners. This positioning reflects early May 2026's below-average pattern—long-term highs average 16°C—with cloudy conditions and precipitation suppressing daytime heating, corroborated by HARMONIE model runs and ECMWF ensembles clustering 10-13°C. While short-range uncertainty persists due to evolving boundary layer dynamics, watch for evening observational updates and 00Z model refreshes that could shift the narrowly balanced 10-12°C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 15?
11°C 51%
12°C 27%
10°C 20%
13°C 5.5%
最新
最新
2026-05-15
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
20%
11°C
51%
12°C
27%
13°C
5%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 51%
12°C 27%
10°C 20%
13°C 5.5%
最新
最新
2026-05-15
7°C or below
$534 交易量
1%
8°C
$627 交易量
1%
9°C
$738 交易量
2%
10°C
$940 交易量
20%
11°C
$1,125 交易量
51%
12°C
$854 交易量
27%
13°C
$746 交易量
5%
14°C
$430 交易量
1%
15°C
$455 交易量
1%
16°C
$519 交易量
1%
17°C or higher
$1,017 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI forecasts project a maximum temperature of 12°C in Amsterdam on May 15 amid persistent cool northerly winds (NW 3) ushering in maritime air masses and a 70% chance of scattered showers, aligning trader sentiment with 11°C (50.5% implied probability) and 12°C (25%) as frontrunners. This positioning reflects early May 2026's below-average pattern—long-term highs average 16°C—with cloudy conditions and precipitation suppressing daytime heating, corroborated by HARMONIE model runs and ECMWF ensembles clustering 10-13°C. While short-range uncertainty persists due to evolving boundary layer dynamics, watch for evening observational updates and 00Z model refreshes that could shift the narrowly balanced 10-12°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
交易量
$7,359结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest KNMI forecasts project a maximum temperature of 12°C in Amsterdam on May 15 amid persistent cool northerly winds (NW 3) ushering in maritime air masses and a 70% chance of scattered showers, aligning trader sentiment with 11°C (50.5% implied probability) and 12°C (25%) as frontrunners. This positioning reflects early May 2026's below-average pattern—long-term highs average 16°C—with cloudy conditions and precipitation suppressing daytime heating, corroborated by HARMONIE model runs and ECMWF ensembles clustering 10-13°C. While short-range uncertainty persists due to evolving boundary layer dynamics, watch for evening observational updates and 00Z model refreshes that could shift the narrowly balanced 10-12°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,359结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:53 AM ETLatest KNMI forecasts project a maximum temperature of 12°C in Amsterdam on May 15 amid persistent cool northerly winds (NW 3) ushering in maritime air masses and a 70% chance of scattered showers, aligning trader sentiment with 11°C (50.5% implied probability) and 12°C (25%) as frontrunners. This positioning reflects early May 2026's below-average pattern—long-term highs average 16°C—with cloudy conditions and precipitation suppressing daytime heating, corroborated by HARMONIE model runs and ECMWF ensembles clustering 10-13°C. While short-range uncertainty persists due to evolving boundary layer dynamics, watch for evening observational updates and 00Z model refreshes that could shift the narrowly balanced 10-12°C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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