Official hourly observations from the KNMI-operated weather station at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 13°C reached midday on May 14, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and a cool air mass over northwest Europe. Evening readings have since dropped to around 6°C with no solar heating left after sunset near 21:30 local time, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 13°C. ECMWF and HIRLAM model runs from the past 48 hours accurately forecasted these subdued highs below 14°C, aligning with climatological May variability but cooler than the 16°C monthly average. Only an unlikely post-day data revision by KNMI—such as a corrected sensor reading—could challenge this positioning, with final daily maxima expected imminently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 14?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 14?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$54,619 交易量
$54,619 交易量
2026-05-14
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$54,619 交易量
$54,619 交易量
2026-05-14
7°C or below
$3,262 交易量
No
8°C
$1,294 交易量
No
9°C
$2,302 交易量
No
10°C
$6,326 交易量
No
11°C
$4,883 交易量
No
12°C
$10,234 交易量
No
13°C
$7,090 交易量
Yes
14°C
$11,092 交易量
No
15°C
$4,078 交易量
No
16°C
$2,512 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$1,548 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from the KNMI-operated weather station at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 13°C reached midday on May 14, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and a cool air mass over northwest Europe. Evening readings have since dropped to around 6°C with no solar heating left after sunset near 21:30 local time, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 13°C. ECMWF and HIRLAM model runs from the past 48 hours accurately forecasted these subdued highs below 14°C, aligning with climatological May variability but cooler than the 16°C monthly average. Only an unlikely post-day data revision by KNMI—such as a corrected sensor reading—could challenge this positioning, with final daily maxima expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$54,619结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from the KNMI-operated weather station at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 13°C reached midday on May 14, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and a cool air mass over northwest Europe. Evening readings have since dropped to around 6°C with no solar heating left after sunset near 21:30 local time, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 13°C. ECMWF and HIRLAM model runs from the past 48 hours accurately forecasted these subdued highs below 14°C, aligning with climatological May variability but cooler than the 16°C monthly average. Only an unlikely post-day data revision by KNMI—such as a corrected sensor reading—could challenge this positioning, with final daily maxima expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$54,619结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official hourly observations from the KNMI-operated weather station at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the market's resolution source, confirm a maximum temperature of 13°C reached midday on May 14, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and a cool air mass over northwest Europe. Evening readings have since dropped to around 6°C with no solar heating left after sunset near 21:30 local time, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 13°C. ECMWF and HIRLAM model runs from the past 48 hours accurately forecasted these subdued highs below 14°C, aligning with climatological May variability but cooler than the 16°C monthly average. Only an unlikely post-day data revision by KNMI—such as a corrected sensor reading—could challenge this positioning, with final daily maxima expected imminently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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