Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models point to a maximum temperature of 20–21°C in Cape Town on May 17, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Late autumn in the Southern Hemisphere brings cooler Atlantic air masses and strengthening influence from the Benguela Current, which suppresses daytime highs while southeasterly winds limit warming. Recent regional weather warnings highlight gusty conditions and scattered showers that have kept overnight lows near 13–14°C and prevented significant daytime recovery. Historical May averages near 19°C, combined with stable model consensus through the next 48 hours, reinforce trader focus on the narrow 19–21°C band ahead of the final observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日开普敦气温最高?
20°C 41%
21°C 30%
19°C 20%
22°C 8%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
20%
20°C
41%
21°C
30%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C或更高
1%
20°C 41%
21°C 30%
19°C 20%
22°C 8%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
20%
20°C
41%
21°C
30%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models point to a maximum temperature of 20–21°C in Cape Town on May 17, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Late autumn in the Southern Hemisphere brings cooler Atlantic air masses and strengthening influence from the Benguela Current, which suppresses daytime highs while southeasterly winds limit warming. Recent regional weather warnings highlight gusty conditions and scattered showers that have kept overnight lows near 13–14°C and prevented significant daytime recovery. Historical May averages near 19°C, combined with stable model consensus through the next 48 hours, reinforce trader focus on the narrow 19–21°C band ahead of the final observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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