Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F and 88°F or higher for Houston's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting forecast model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF centering near 87°F with a spread of 2-3°F uncertainty. This positioning stems from a dominant mid-level ridge promoting subsidence—sinking air that suppresses clouds—and ample solar insolation under partly sunny skies, per the latest National Weather Service Houston/Galveston guidance, with light southerly winds aiding afternoon heating. Differentiating factors include the timing of any sea breeze influx from Galveston Bay, which could cap peaks at 86-87°F, versus drier boundary layer mixing pushing toward 88°F+ in warmer ensemble members. Mid-May climatological normals hover at 86°F, aligning with recent dry conditions limiting soil moisture cooling. New HRRR model runs expected overnight and early observations from George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH) will sharpen trader sentiment before peak heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on May 16?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 16?
86-87°F 39%
88°F or higher 38%
84-85°F 16%
82-83°F 3.8%
最新
$17,471 交易量
最新
$17,471 交易量
2026-05-16
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
39%
88°F or higher
38%
86-87°F 39%
88°F or higher 38%
84-85°F 16%
82-83°F 3.8%
最新
$17,471 交易量
最新
$17,471 交易量
2026-05-16
69°F or below
$2,370 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$4,302 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$3,322 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$2,597 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$1,849 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$235 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$281 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$200 交易量
4%
84-85°F
$1,295 交易量
16%
86-87°F
$592 交易量
39%
88°F or higher
$502 交易量
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F and 88°F or higher for Houston's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting forecast model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF centering near 87°F with a spread of 2-3°F uncertainty. This positioning stems from a dominant mid-level ridge promoting subsidence—sinking air that suppresses clouds—and ample solar insolation under partly sunny skies, per the latest National Weather Service Houston/Galveston guidance, with light southerly winds aiding afternoon heating. Differentiating factors include the timing of any sea breeze influx from Galveston Bay, which could cap peaks at 86-87°F, versus drier boundary layer mixing pushing toward 88°F+ in warmer ensemble members. Mid-May climatological normals hover at 86°F, aligning with recent dry conditions limiting soil moisture cooling. New HRRR model runs expected overnight and early observations from George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH) will sharpen trader sentiment before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$17,471结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F and 88°F or higher for Houston's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting forecast model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF centering near 87°F with a spread of 2-3°F uncertainty. This positioning stems from a dominant mid-level ridge promoting subsidence—sinking air that suppresses clouds—and ample solar insolation under partly sunny skies, per the latest National Weather Service Houston/Galveston guidance, with light southerly winds aiding afternoon heating. Differentiating factors include the timing of any sea breeze influx from Galveston Bay, which could cap peaks at 86-87°F, versus drier boundary layer mixing pushing toward 88°F+ in warmer ensemble members. Mid-May climatological normals hover at 86°F, aligning with recent dry conditions limiting soil moisture cooling. New HRRR model runs expected overnight and early observations from George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH) will sharpen trader sentiment before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$17,471结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 86-87°F and 88°F or higher for Houston's highest temperature on May 16, reflecting forecast model ensembles from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF centering near 87°F with a spread of 2-3°F uncertainty. This positioning stems from a dominant mid-level ridge promoting subsidence—sinking air that suppresses clouds—and ample solar insolation under partly sunny skies, per the latest National Weather Service Houston/Galveston guidance, with light southerly winds aiding afternoon heating. Differentiating factors include the timing of any sea breeze influx from Galveston Bay, which could cap peaks at 86-87°F, versus drier boundary layer mixing pushing toward 88°F+ in warmer ensemble members. Mid-May climatological normals hover at 86°F, aligning with recent dry conditions limiting soil moisture cooling. New HRRR model runs expected overnight and early observations from George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH) will sharpen trader sentiment before peak heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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