National Weather Service guidance and NOAA model ensembles position Austin's May 16 high temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s, driving trader consensus toward 90°F or higher at 45.5% and 88-89°F at 30.5% on Polymarket. Persistent south-southeasterly winds of 10-15 mph, fostering warm air advection from the Gulf of Mexico, support these market-implied odds following recovery from early May thunderstorms—including damaging winds on May 10—that temporarily cooled the region. Partial cloud cover introduces uncertainty, with potential to limit peaks via reduced insolation, while climatological May averages near 86°F provide baseline context. Updated 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs and afternoon soundings from Austin-Bergstrom could shift probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
90°F or higher 42%
88-89°F 31%
86-87°F 22%
84-85°F 2.7%
最新
$30,376 交易量
最新
$30,376 交易量
2026-05-16
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
31%
90°F or higher
42%
90°F or higher 42%
88-89°F 31%
86-87°F 22%
84-85°F 2.7%
最新
$30,376 交易量
最新
$30,376 交易量
2026-05-16
71°F or below
$9,296 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$6,687 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$2,682 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$3,064 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$1,789 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$1,508 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$592 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$753 交易量
3%
86-87°F
$890 交易量
22%
88-89°F
$886 交易量
31%
90°F or higher
$2,229 交易量
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and NOAA model ensembles position Austin's May 16 high temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s, driving trader consensus toward 90°F or higher at 45.5% and 88-89°F at 30.5% on Polymarket. Persistent south-southeasterly winds of 10-15 mph, fostering warm air advection from the Gulf of Mexico, support these market-implied odds following recovery from early May thunderstorms—including damaging winds on May 10—that temporarily cooled the region. Partial cloud cover introduces uncertainty, with potential to limit peaks via reduced insolation, while climatological May averages near 86°F provide baseline context. Updated 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs and afternoon soundings from Austin-Bergstrom could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
交易量
$30,376结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and NOAA model ensembles position Austin's May 16 high temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s, driving trader consensus toward 90°F or higher at 45.5% and 88-89°F at 30.5% on Polymarket. Persistent south-southeasterly winds of 10-15 mph, fostering warm air advection from the Gulf of Mexico, support these market-implied odds following recovery from early May thunderstorms—including damaging winds on May 10—that temporarily cooled the region. Partial cloud cover introduces uncertainty, with potential to limit peaks via reduced insolation, while climatological May averages near 86°F provide baseline context. Updated 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs and afternoon soundings from Austin-Bergstrom could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$30,376结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETNational Weather Service guidance and NOAA model ensembles position Austin's May 16 high temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s, driving trader consensus toward 90°F or higher at 45.5% and 88-89°F at 30.5% on Polymarket. Persistent south-southeasterly winds of 10-15 mph, fostering warm air advection from the Gulf of Mexico, support these market-implied odds following recovery from early May thunderstorms—including damaging winds on May 10—that temporarily cooled the region. Partial cloud cover introduces uncertainty, with potential to limit peaks via reduced insolation, while climatological May averages near 86°F provide baseline context. Updated 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs and afternoon soundings from Austin-Bergstrom could shift probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题