**National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 89°F in Austin on May 15, anchored by a dominant high-pressure ridge aloft that promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and efficient solar heating under light southerly winds.** Midday observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport already exceed 78°F, aligning with model consensus from major guidance systems and placing the peak well above the 84°F climatological normal for mid-May. Trader consensus reflects 100% implied probability for 86°F or higher, backed by a multi-day warming trend with no disruptive upper-level features in sight. Scenarios challenging this—such as unexpected convective outbreaks or marine layer intrusion—remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns; official airport measurements will resolve the market by midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?
86°F or higher 100.0%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$40,635 交易量
$40,635 交易量
2026-05-15
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
100%
86°F or higher 100.0%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$40,635 交易量
$40,635 交易量
2026-05-15
82-83°F
$1,189 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$3,063 交易量
<1%
86°F or higher
$5,326 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 89°F in Austin on May 15, anchored by a dominant high-pressure ridge aloft that promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and efficient solar heating under light southerly winds.** Midday observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport already exceed 78°F, aligning with model consensus from major guidance systems and placing the peak well above the 84°F climatological normal for mid-May. Trader consensus reflects 100% implied probability for 86°F or higher, backed by a multi-day warming trend with no disruptive upper-level features in sight. Scenarios challenging this—such as unexpected convective outbreaks or marine layer intrusion—remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns; official airport measurements will resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
交易量
$40,635结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 89°F in Austin on May 15, anchored by a dominant high-pressure ridge aloft that promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and efficient solar heating under light southerly winds.** Midday observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport already exceed 78°F, aligning with model consensus from major guidance systems and placing the peak well above the 84°F climatological normal for mid-May. Trader consensus reflects 100% implied probability for 86°F or higher, backed by a multi-day warming trend with no disruptive upper-level features in sight. Scenarios challenging this—such as unexpected convective outbreaks or marine layer intrusion—remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns; official airport measurements will resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$40,635结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET**National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 89°F in Austin on May 15, anchored by a dominant high-pressure ridge aloft that promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and efficient solar heating under light southerly winds.** Midday observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport already exceed 78°F, aligning with model consensus from major guidance systems and placing the peak well above the 84°F climatological normal for mid-May. Trader consensus reflects 100% implied probability for 86°F or higher, backed by a multi-day warming trend with no disruptive upper-level features in sight. Scenarios challenging this—such as unexpected convective outbreaks or marine layer intrusion—remain low-probability outliers given current steering patterns; official airport measurements will resolve the market by midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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