Updated National Weather Service and local meteorological guidance for Austin projects a daytime high near 92°F on May 18 under a warm, moist air mass advected northward from the Gulf of Mexico. Southerly flow combined with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and strong May insolation supports peak readings at or above 90°F, consistent with the market-implied 73.5% probability for that outcome. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows limited frontal or convective cooling, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms could trim the exact maximum by a degree or two. This aligns with the ongoing early-season warmth across central Texas, where observed highs have frequently reached the upper 80s to low 90s in the past week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日奥斯汀的最高温度？
5月18日奥斯汀的最高温度？
90°F or higher 82%
88-89°F 23%
86-87°F 10%
84-85°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
23%
90°F or higher
73%
90°F or higher 82%
88-89°F 23%
86-87°F 10%
84-85°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
71°F or below
$389 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$677 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$677 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$547 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$277 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$81 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$6 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$15 交易量
6%
86-87°F
$7 交易量
10%
88-89°F
$50 交易量
23%
90°F or higher
$87 交易量
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Updated National Weather Service and local meteorological guidance for Austin projects a daytime high near 92°F on May 18 under a warm, moist air mass advected northward from the Gulf of Mexico. Southerly flow combined with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and strong May insolation supports peak readings at or above 90°F, consistent with the market-implied 73.5% probability for that outcome. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows limited frontal or convective cooling, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms could trim the exact maximum by a degree or two. This aligns with the ongoing early-season warmth across central Texas, where observed highs have frequently reached the upper 80s to low 90s in the past week.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$2,803结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Updated National Weather Service and local meteorological guidance for Austin projects a daytime high near 92°F on May 18 under a warm, moist air mass advected northward from the Gulf of Mexico. Southerly flow combined with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and strong May insolation supports peak readings at or above 90°F, consistent with the market-implied 73.5% probability for that outcome. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows limited frontal or convective cooling, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms could trim the exact maximum by a degree or two. This aligns with the ongoing early-season warmth across central Texas, where observed highs have frequently reached the upper 80s to low 90s in the past week.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,803结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETUpdated National Weather Service and local meteorological guidance for Austin projects a daytime high near 92°F on May 18 under a warm, moist air mass advected northward from the Gulf of Mexico. Southerly flow combined with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and strong May insolation supports peak readings at or above 90°F, consistent with the market-implied 73.5% probability for that outcome. Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows limited frontal or convective cooling, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms could trim the exact maximum by a degree or two. This aligns with the ongoing early-season warmth across central Texas, where observed highs have frequently reached the upper 80s to low 90s in the past week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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