Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport show the overnight low stabilizing in the 72–73°F range under persistent high pressure and light winds that limit radiational cooling, aligning closely with May climatological normals of 73°F. This scientific consensus from official model runs and real-time observations has driven the market-implied probability for the 72–73°F bracket to 99.7 percent. Traders recognize that only an unexpected surge in moisture or a late-arriving cold front could drop readings into the low 70s or below, scenarios current atmospheric conditions make highly improbable before sunrise.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Miami on May 15?
72-73°F 99.7%
70-71°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
67°F或更低 <1%
$26,117 交易量
$26,117 交易量
67°F或更低
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
100%
72-73°F 99.7%
70-71°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
67°F或更低 <1%
$26,117 交易量
$26,117 交易量
67°F或更低
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami International Airport show the overnight low stabilizing in the 72–73°F range under persistent high pressure and light winds that limit radiational cooling, aligning closely with May climatological normals of 73°F. This scientific consensus from official model runs and real-time observations has driven the market-implied probability for the 72–73°F bracket to 99.7 percent. Traders recognize that only an unexpected surge in moisture or a late-arriving cold front could drop readings into the low 70s or below, scenarios current atmospheric conditions make highly improbable before sunrise.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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