Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 70°F for New York City on June 30, driven by persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling overnight. The urban heat island effect, typical for LaGuardia and Central Park stations, further supports readings in the upper 60s to low 70s rather than cooler rural analogs. With leading market outcomes clustered tightly between 68-73°F, traders weigh minor differences among ensemble members regarding wind speeds and cloud cover that could trim or sustain the low. Historical June minima average around 65-68°F, but the current warm pattern has kept recent overnight lows elevated, aligning trader sentiment with the latest forecast consensus ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in NYC on June 30?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 30?
70-71°F 44%
68-69°F 24%
72-73°F 20%
66-67°F 6%
最新
$10,438 交易量
最新
$10,438 交易量
2026-06-30
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 44%
68-69°F 24%
72-73°F 20%
66-67°F 6%
最新
$10,438 交易量
最新
$10,438 交易量
2026-06-30
59°F or below
$655 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$1,038 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$922 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$1,437 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$349 交易量
6%
68-69°F
$1,036 交易量
24%
70-71°F
$2,972 交易量
44%
72-73°F
$406 交易量
20%
74-75°F
$264 交易量
6%
76-77°F
$422 交易量
1%
78°F or higher
$952 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 70°F for New York City on June 30, driven by persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling overnight. The urban heat island effect, typical for LaGuardia and Central Park stations, further supports readings in the upper 60s to low 70s rather than cooler rural analogs. With leading market outcomes clustered tightly between 68-73°F, traders weigh minor differences among ensemble members regarding wind speeds and cloud cover that could trim or sustain the low. Historical June minima average around 65-68°F, but the current warm pattern has kept recent overnight lows elevated, aligning trader sentiment with the latest forecast consensus ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 28, 2026, 10:30 PM ET
交易量
$10,438结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 28, 2026, 10:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 70°F for New York City on June 30, driven by persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling overnight. The urban heat island effect, typical for LaGuardia and Central Park stations, further supports readings in the upper 60s to low 70s rather than cooler rural analogs. With leading market outcomes clustered tightly between 68-73°F, traders weigh minor differences among ensemble members regarding wind speeds and cloud cover that could trim or sustain the low. Historical June minima average around 65-68°F, but the current warm pattern has kept recent overnight lows elevated, aligning trader sentiment with the latest forecast consensus ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,438结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 28, 2026, 10:30 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a minimum temperature near 70°F for New York City on June 30, driven by persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling overnight. The urban heat island effect, typical for LaGuardia and Central Park stations, further supports readings in the upper 60s to low 70s rather than cooler rural analogs. With leading market outcomes clustered tightly between 68-73°F, traders weigh minor differences among ensemble members regarding wind speeds and cloud cover that could trim or sustain the low. Historical June minima average around 65-68°F, but the current warm pattern has kept recent overnight lows elevated, aligning trader sentiment with the latest forecast consensus ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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