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莫伊塔巴·哈梅内伊( Mojtaba Khamenei )离开伊朗的时

icon for 莫伊塔巴·哈梅内伊( Mojtaba Khamenei )离开伊朗的时

莫伊塔巴·哈梅内伊( Mojtaba Khamenei )离开伊朗的时

$1,150,355 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$1,150,355 交易量

Polymarket

5月31日

$115,398 交易量

1%

6月30日

$63,347 交易量

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed on February 28 at the outset of the conflict with the United States and Israel. He has since directed policy through written statements, including directives on Strait of Hormuz management, while remaining largely absent from public view amid reports of injuries and heightened security concerns. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed a lengthy in-person meeting with him in early May, and U.S. intelligence assessments indicate Mojtaba continues to shape wartime strategy and negotiations. As supreme leader during active hostilities, his temporary or permanent departure from Iran would mark a notable break from established leadership continuity and could influence succession dynamics or diplomatic signaling. No scheduled public events or official travel announcements have altered this positioning in recent weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,150,355
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed on February 28 at the outset of the conflict with the United States and Israel. He has since directed policy through written statements, including directives on Strait of Hormuz management, while remaining largely absent from public view amid reports of injuries and heightened security concerns. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed a lengthy in-person meeting with him in early May, and U.S. intelligence assessments indicate Mojtaba continues to shape wartime strategy and negotiations. As supreme leader during active hostilities, his temporary or permanent departure from Iran would mark a notable break from established leadership continuity and could influence succession dynamics or diplomatic signaling. No scheduled public events or official travel announcements have altered this positioning in recent weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,150,355
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"莫伊塔巴·哈梅内伊( Mojtaba Khamenei )离开伊朗的时"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"6月30日",概率为 3%,其次是"5月31日",概率为 1%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 3¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 3%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"莫伊塔巴·哈梅内伊( Mojtaba Khamenei )离开伊朗的时"已产生 $1.2 million 的总交易量(自Mar 10, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"莫伊塔巴·哈梅内伊( Mojtaba Khamenei )离开伊朗的时"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"莫伊塔巴·哈梅内伊( Mojtaba Khamenei )离开伊朗的时"的当前领先者是"6月30日",仅有 3%,"5月31日"紧随其后为 1%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"莫伊塔巴·哈梅内伊( Mojtaba Khamenei )离开伊朗的时"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。