Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed on February 28 at the outset of the conflict with the United States and Israel. He has since directed policy through written statements, including directives on Strait of Hormuz management, while remaining largely absent from public view amid reports of injuries and heightened security concerns. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed a lengthy in-person meeting with him in early May, and U.S. intelligence assessments indicate Mojtaba continues to shape wartime strategy and negotiations. As supreme leader during active hostilities, his temporary or permanent departure from Iran would mark a notable break from established leadership continuity and could influence succession dynamics or diplomatic signaling. No scheduled public events or official travel announcements have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,150,355 交易量
5月31日
1%
6月30日
3%
$1,150,355 交易量
5月31日
1%
6月30日
3%
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran’s supreme leadership in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed on February 28 at the outset of the conflict with the United States and Israel. He has since directed policy through written statements, including directives on Strait of Hormuz management, while remaining largely absent from public view amid reports of injuries and heightened security concerns. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed a lengthy in-person meeting with him in early May, and U.S. intelligence assessments indicate Mojtaba continues to shape wartime strategy and negotiations. As supreme leader during active hostilities, his temporary or permanent departure from Iran would mark a notable break from established leadership continuity and could influence succession dynamics or diplomatic signaling. No scheduled public events or official travel announcements have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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