Following the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during joint U.S.-Israeli strikes, his son Mojtaba was appointed successor by the Assembly of Experts in early March. Mojtaba has remained out of public view since, with multiple reports citing severe injuries from the attacks that targeted his family compound. Iranian officials have attributed his absence to security threats amid ongoing military exchanges, while recent confirmations of meetings with the president indicate he continues to exercise authority from within the country. Any verified departure for medical care or protection before the June 30 deadline would trigger market resolution, whereas sustained domestic operations under tight security would maintain the current positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,150,355 交易量
5月31日
1%
6月30日
3%
$1,150,355 交易量
5月31日
1%
6月30日
3%
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Following the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during joint U.S.-Israeli strikes, his son Mojtaba was appointed successor by the Assembly of Experts in early March. Mojtaba has remained out of public view since, with multiple reports citing severe injuries from the attacks that targeted his family compound. Iranian officials have attributed his absence to security threats amid ongoing military exchanges, while recent confirmations of meetings with the president indicate he continues to exercise authority from within the country. Any verified departure for medical care or protection before the June 30 deadline would trigger market resolution, whereas sustained domestic operations under tight security would maintain the current positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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