Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no James Bond actor announcement in the near term (74% implied probability), driven by Eon Productions heads Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson urging patience in mid-April amid persistent rumors, as director Denis Villeneuve prioritizes wrapping Dune: Part Three before Bond 26 casting ramps up later this year for a potential 2028 release. Callum Turner holds frontrunner status at 12.6% on viral social buzz, betting market surges like Kalshi, and his Masters of the Air breakout aligning with industry appetite for a fresh-faced 007 in the mid-30s range. Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 7.8% from prior momentum despite fading whispers, while Jacob Elordi's recent "pole position" endorsements reflect his Saltburn-fueled heartthrob ascent at 3.3%; historical Bond secrecy underscores rapid shifts ahead of official word.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员？
下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员？
尚未选出邦德 74%
分组项标题：Callum Turner 12.6%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 7.8%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪 3.3%
$2,177,921 交易量
$2,177,921 交易量
尚未选出邦德
74%
分组项标题：Callum Turner
13%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
8%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪
3%
亨利·卡维尔
1%
哈里斯·迪金森
1%
分组项标题：汤姆·哈迪
1%
西奥·詹姆斯
1%
汤姆·霍兰德
1%
分组项标题：詹姆斯·诺顿
<1%
保罗·梅斯卡尔
<1%
皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%
杰克·洛登
<1%
罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
<1%
乔什·奥康纳
<1%
尚未选出邦德 74%
分组项标题：Callum Turner 12.6%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 7.8%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪 3.3%
$2,177,921 交易量
$2,177,921 交易量
尚未选出邦德
74%
分组项标题：Callum Turner
13%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
8%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪
3%
亨利·卡维尔
1%
哈里斯·迪金森
1%
分组项标题：汤姆·哈迪
1%
西奥·詹姆斯
1%
汤姆·霍兰德
1%
分组项标题：詹姆斯·诺顿
<1%
保罗·梅斯卡尔
<1%
皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%
杰克·洛登
<1%
罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
<1%
乔什·奥康纳
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no James Bond actor announcement in the near term (74% implied probability), driven by Eon Productions heads Barbara Broccoli and Michael G. Wilson urging patience in mid-April amid persistent rumors, as director Denis Villeneuve prioritizes wrapping Dune: Part Three before Bond 26 casting ramps up later this year for a potential 2028 release. Callum Turner holds frontrunner status at 12.6% on viral social buzz, betting market surges like Kalshi, and his Masters of the Air breakout aligning with industry appetite for a fresh-faced 007 in the mid-30s range. Aaron Taylor-Johnson lingers at 7.8% from prior momentum despite fading whispers, while Jacob Elordi's recent "pole position" endorsements reflect his Saltburn-fueled heartthrob ascent at 3.3%; historical Bond secrecy underscores rapid shifts ahead of official word.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题