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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen 93.7%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson <1%

Henry Cavill <1%

Callum Turner <1%

Polymarket

$3,528,741 交易量

No Bond chosen 93.7%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson <1%

Henry Cavill <1%

Callum Turner <1%

Polymarket

$3,528,741 交易量

icon for No Bond chosen

No Bond chosen

$638,926 交易量

94%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$184,008 交易量

<1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$474,057 交易量

<1%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$175,117 交易量

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$197,752 交易量

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$275,645 交易量

<1%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$297,533 交易量

<1%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$235,713 交易量

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$145,154 交易量

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$254,723 交易量

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$271,535 交易量

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$160,928 交易量

<1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$73,873 交易量

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$70,243 交易量

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$74,034 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The dominant 94% market-implied probability that no actor has been chosen stems from the early phase of the official casting search for the next James Bond. Amazon MGM Studios confirmed in mid-May that auditions began weeks earlier, enlisting veteran casting director Nina Gold to identify candidates for the role ahead of Bond 26, directed by Denis Villeneuve. While names such as Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, and Harris Dickinson generate ongoing speculation and betting interest, the studio has signaled it will share updates only when ready, with no announcements or commitments reported through mid-June. A swift resolution could occur if producers accelerate toward a preferred actor with multi-film availability, though the process typically unfolds over many months.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,528,741
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The dominant 94% market-implied probability that no actor has been chosen stems from the early phase of the official casting search for the next James Bond. Amazon MGM Studios confirmed in mid-May that auditions began weeks earlier, enlisting veteran casting director Nina Gold to identify candidates for the role ahead of Bond 26, directed by Denis Villeneuve. While names such as Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, and Harris Dickinson generate ongoing speculation and betting interest, the studio has signaled it will share updates only when ready, with no announcements or commitments reported through mid-June. A swift resolution could occur if producers accelerate toward a preferred actor with multi-film availability, though the process typically unfolds over many months.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,528,741
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Next James Bond actor?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 15 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"No Bond chosen",概率为 94%,其次是"Aaron Taylor-Johnson",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 94¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 94%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Next James Bond actor?"已产生 $3.5 million 的总交易量(自Aug 4, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Next James Bond actor?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 15 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Next James Bond actor?"的当前领先者是"No Bond chosen",概率为 94%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 94%。紧随其后的结果是"Aaron Taylor-Johnson",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Next James Bond actor?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。