Avengers: Doomsday’s record-shattering presales, already topping $35 million four months before release with tracking for a $260–300 million domestic debut, drive its 66.5% implied probability as the 2026 opening-week leader. The MCU ensemble, directed by the Russo brothers and featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, builds on massive trailer buzz and holiday timing to fuel trader expectations of surpassing Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s existing $360 million record. Spider-Man’s July haul and strong legs secure its 32% share as the current benchmark, while animated and franchise titles like Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah register minimal odds due to lower tracking and earlier, more modest results. The December 18 “Dunesday” clash with Dune: Part Three remains the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 32%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$112,684 交易量
$112,684 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
32%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 32%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$112,684 交易量
$112,684 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
$46,614 交易量
67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$33,134 交易量
32%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 交易量
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 交易量
<1%
Toy Story 5
$3,657 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday’s record-shattering presales, already topping $35 million four months before release with tracking for a $260–300 million domestic debut, drive its 66.5% implied probability as the 2026 opening-week leader. The MCU ensemble, directed by the Russo brothers and featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, builds on massive trailer buzz and holiday timing to fuel trader expectations of surpassing Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s existing $360 million record. Spider-Man’s July haul and strong legs secure its 32% share as the current benchmark, while animated and franchise titles like Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah register minimal odds due to lower tracking and earlier, more modest results. The December 18 “Dunesday” clash with Dune: Part Three remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$112,684结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday’s record-shattering presales, already topping $35 million four months before release with tracking for a $260–300 million domestic debut, drive its 66.5% implied probability as the 2026 opening-week leader. The MCU ensemble, directed by the Russo brothers and featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, builds on massive trailer buzz and holiday timing to fuel trader expectations of surpassing Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s existing $360 million record. Spider-Man’s July haul and strong legs secure its 32% share as the current benchmark, while animated and franchise titles like Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah register minimal odds due to lower tracking and earlier, more modest results. The December 18 “Dunesday” clash with Dune: Part Three remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$112,684结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETAvengers: Doomsday’s record-shattering presales, already topping $35 million four months before release with tracking for a $260–300 million domestic debut, drive its 66.5% implied probability as the 2026 opening-week leader. The MCU ensemble, directed by the Russo brothers and featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, builds on massive trailer buzz and holiday timing to fuel trader expectations of surpassing Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s existing $360 million record. Spider-Man’s July haul and strong legs secure its 32% share as the current benchmark, while animated and franchise titles like Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah register minimal odds due to lower tracking and earlier, more modest results. The December 18 “Dunesday” clash with Dune: Part Three remains the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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