Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 67 percent implied probability because its MCU event status, Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, and massive franchise crossover appeal create unmatched pre-release buzz and tracking estimates for a 2026 summer release. This far outpaces Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 22 percent, which benefits from Sony's reliable superhero audience but lacks the Avengers-scale spectacle. Animated contenders like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Toy Story 5 sit near 4 percent and 3.5 percent on strong family franchise loyalty, while Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu, The Odyssey, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping each hover below 2 percent due to narrower appeal and later positioning. Key upcoming catalysts include first trailer drops and confirmed release dates that could further solidify or shift the current market hierarchy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 22%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 4.0%
Toy Story 5 3.5%
$12,845 交易量
$12,845 交易量
Avengers: Doomsday
67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
22%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
4%
Toy Story 5
3%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Dune: Messiah
1%
The Odyssey
1%
Avengers: Doomsday 67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 22%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 4.0%
Toy Story 5 3.5%
$12,845 交易量
$12,845 交易量
Avengers: Doomsday
67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
22%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
4%
Toy Story 5
3%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
Dune: Messiah
1%
The Odyssey
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 67 percent implied probability because its MCU event status, Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, and massive franchise crossover appeal create unmatched pre-release buzz and tracking estimates for a 2026 summer release. This far outpaces Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 22 percent, which benefits from Sony's reliable superhero audience but lacks the Avengers-scale spectacle. Animated contenders like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Toy Story 5 sit near 4 percent and 3.5 percent on strong family franchise loyalty, while Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu, The Odyssey, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping each hover below 2 percent due to narrower appeal and later positioning. Key upcoming catalysts include first trailer drops and confirmed release dates that could further solidify or shift the current market hierarchy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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