With the 2026 awards season still in its early stages, trader sentiment for the Oscars 2027 Best Original Screenplay market reflects a wide-open field where multiple projects hold roughly equal implied probabilities around 50%. Wild Horse Nine leads the specific contenders at 39%, followed by Obsession at 22%, as industry observers weigh factors like established directors, studio resources, and early script buzz against unproven entries. Historical patterns show original screenplays often reward timely, original storytelling with strong critical reception and guild support, yet no precursors have occurred and most 2026 releases remain months away. Upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and initial reviews that could quickly shift momentum among titles like The Adventures of Cliff Booth or The Odyssey.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 39%
Obsession 22%
Digger 12%
Fjord 8%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
Wild Horse Nine
39%
Obsession
22%
Digger
12%
Fjord
8%
The Drama
6%
Josephine
6%
The Debut
12%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
5%
The Invite
5%
A Place in Hell
4%
The Odyssey
3%
Club Kid
3%
Elsinore
3%
Fatherland
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
12%
The Black Ball
12%
Forgotten Island
2%
Wild Horse Nine 39%
Obsession 22%
Digger 12%
Fjord 8%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
Wild Horse Nine
$5,448 交易量
39%
Obsession
$121 交易量
22%
Digger
$321 交易量
12%
Fjord
$73 交易量
8%
The Drama
$36 交易量
6%
Josephine
$56 交易量
6%
The Debut
$102 交易量
12%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$56 交易量
5%
The Invite
$36 交易量
5%
A Place in Hell
$56 交易量
4%
The Odyssey
$56 交易量
3%
Club Kid
$39 交易量
3%
Elsinore
$36 交易量
3%
Fatherland
$36 交易量
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$102 交易量
12%
The Black Ball
$93 交易量
12%
Forgotten Island
$36 交易量
2%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 awards season still in its early stages, trader sentiment for the Oscars 2027 Best Original Screenplay market reflects a wide-open field where multiple projects hold roughly equal implied probabilities around 50%. Wild Horse Nine leads the specific contenders at 39%, followed by Obsession at 22%, as industry observers weigh factors like established directors, studio resources, and early script buzz against unproven entries. Historical patterns show original screenplays often reward timely, original storytelling with strong critical reception and guild support, yet no precursors have occurred and most 2026 releases remain months away. Upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and initial reviews that could quickly shift momentum among titles like The Adventures of Cliff Booth or The Odyssey.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
交易量
$6,699结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 awards season still in its early stages, trader sentiment for the Oscars 2027 Best Original Screenplay market reflects a wide-open field where multiple projects hold roughly equal implied probabilities around 50%. Wild Horse Nine leads the specific contenders at 39%, followed by Obsession at 22%, as industry observers weigh factors like established directors, studio resources, and early script buzz against unproven entries. Historical patterns show original screenplays often reward timely, original storytelling with strong critical reception and guild support, yet no precursors have occurred and most 2026 releases remain months away. Upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and initial reviews that could quickly shift momentum among titles like The Adventures of Cliff Booth or The Odyssey.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,699结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2026 awards season still in its early stages, trader sentiment for the Oscars 2027 Best Original Screenplay market reflects a wide-open field where multiple projects hold roughly equal implied probabilities around 50%. Wild Horse Nine leads the specific contenders at 39%, followed by Obsession at 22%, as industry observers weigh factors like established directors, studio resources, and early script buzz against unproven entries. Historical patterns show original screenplays often reward timely, original storytelling with strong critical reception and guild support, yet no precursors have occurred and most 2026 releases remain months away. Upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and initial reviews that could quickly shift momentum among titles like The Adventures of Cliff Booth or The Odyssey.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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