With no single frontrunner emerging this early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment shows a wide-open Best Supporting Actor field where Paul Giamatti leads at 37% implied probability for his anticipated turn in the A24 comedy The Debut, followed closely by Jesse Plemons, Channing Tatum, and Adam Scott. The clustering of top names in the low-to-mid 30s reflects uncertainty around 2026 releases still building awards momentum through festivals and reviews. Historical patterns favor established performers with strong guild and critics’ circle backing, yet late-breaking buzz from films like Digger or Artificial could shift consensus. Key catalysts ahead include fall premieres and precursor nominations that typically clarify the frontrunners.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 37%
Channing Tatum 31.5%
James Ortiz 29.8%
Adam Scott 29.5%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
Paul Giamatti
37%
Channing Tatum
32%
James Ortiz
30%
Adam Scott
30%
Himesh Patel
30%
Colman Domingo
29%
John Goodman
29%
Daniel Craig
29%
Jesse Plemons
28%
Riz Ahmed
28%
Robert Pattinson
27%
Tom Holland
27%
Sam Rockwell
27%
Steve Buscemi
27%
Travis Scott
27%
Robert De Niro
27%
Jeremy Strong
27%
Edward Norton
1%
Michael Fassbender
-
Charles Melton
28%
Miles Teller
28%
Paul Giamatti 37%
Channing Tatum 31.5%
James Ortiz 29.8%
Adam Scott 29.5%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
Paul Giamatti
$20 交易量
37%
Channing Tatum
$20 交易量
32%
James Ortiz
$20 交易量
30%
Adam Scott
$20 交易量
30%
Himesh Patel
$20 交易量
30%
Colman Domingo
$20 交易量
29%
John Goodman
$20 交易量
29%
Daniel Craig
$20 交易量
29%
Jesse Plemons
$20 交易量
28%
Riz Ahmed
$20 交易量
28%
Robert Pattinson
$20 交易量
27%
Tom Holland
$20 交易量
27%
Sam Rockwell
$20 交易量
27%
Steve Buscemi
$20 交易量
27%
Travis Scott
$20 交易量
27%
Robert De Niro
$20 交易量
27%
Jeremy Strong
$20 交易量
27%
Edward Norton
$20 交易量
1%
Michael Fassbender
$20 交易量
-
Charles Melton
$20 交易量
28%
Miles Teller
$20 交易量
28%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With no single frontrunner emerging this early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment shows a wide-open Best Supporting Actor field where Paul Giamatti leads at 37% implied probability for his anticipated turn in the A24 comedy The Debut, followed closely by Jesse Plemons, Channing Tatum, and Adam Scott. The clustering of top names in the low-to-mid 30s reflects uncertainty around 2026 releases still building awards momentum through festivals and reviews. Historical patterns favor established performers with strong guild and critics’ circle backing, yet late-breaking buzz from films like Digger or Artificial could shift consensus. Key catalysts ahead include fall premieres and precursor nominations that typically clarify the frontrunners.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
交易量
$420结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With no single frontrunner emerging this early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment shows a wide-open Best Supporting Actor field where Paul Giamatti leads at 37% implied probability for his anticipated turn in the A24 comedy The Debut, followed closely by Jesse Plemons, Channing Tatum, and Adam Scott. The clustering of top names in the low-to-mid 30s reflects uncertainty around 2026 releases still building awards momentum through festivals and reviews. Historical patterns favor established performers with strong guild and critics’ circle backing, yet late-breaking buzz from films like Digger or Artificial could shift consensus. Key catalysts ahead include fall premieres and precursor nominations that typically clarify the frontrunners.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$420结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With no single frontrunner emerging this early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment shows a wide-open Best Supporting Actor field where Paul Giamatti leads at 37% implied probability for his anticipated turn in the A24 comedy The Debut, followed closely by Jesse Plemons, Channing Tatum, and Adam Scott. The clustering of top names in the low-to-mid 30s reflects uncertainty around 2026 releases still building awards momentum through festivals and reviews. Historical patterns favor established performers with strong guild and critics’ circle backing, yet late-breaking buzz from films like Digger or Artificial could shift consensus. Key catalysts ahead include fall premieres and precursor nominations that typically clarify the frontrunners.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题