Paloma Valencia finished the May 31 first round with roughly 6.9 percent of the vote, well below earlier polling averages of 15-25 percent that had positioned her as a viable center-right contender. Voter consolidation toward the more polarized Abelardo de la Espriella on the right and Iván Cepeda on the left sharply reduced support for establishment and moderate options. Campaign missteps, including public disputes with running mate Juan Daniel Oviedo and an inability to counter de la Espriella’s rapid gains through social media and evangelical mobilization, accelerated the decline. The Democratic Centre candidate’s primary strength proved insufficient against structural polarization that funneled conservative voters toward the leading right-wing alternative. Official results now anchor the near-certain sub-10 percent outcome, though any lingering disputes over final tallies could theoretically affect resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
<10% 98.8%
10-15% 1.2%
25-30% <1%
30-35% <1%
$14,814 交易量
$14,814 交易量
2026-05-31
<10%
99%
10-15%
1%
15-20%
<1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
1%
30-35%
<1%
35%+
<1%
<10% 98.8%
10-15% 1.2%
25-30% <1%
30-35% <1%
$14,814 交易量
$14,814 交易量
2026-05-31
<10%
$7,806 交易量
99%
10-15%
$1,598 交易量
1%
15-20%
$733 交易量
<1%
20-25%
$1,062 交易量
<1%
25-30%
$2,512 交易量
1%
30-35%
$688 交易量
<1%
35%+
$415 交易量
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Paloma Valencia finished the May 31 first round with roughly 6.9 percent of the vote, well below earlier polling averages of 15-25 percent that had positioned her as a viable center-right contender. Voter consolidation toward the more polarized Abelardo de la Espriella on the right and Iván Cepeda on the left sharply reduced support for establishment and moderate options. Campaign missteps, including public disputes with running mate Juan Daniel Oviedo and an inability to counter de la Espriella’s rapid gains through social media and evangelical mobilization, accelerated the decline. The Democratic Centre candidate’s primary strength proved insufficient against structural polarization that funneled conservative voters toward the leading right-wing alternative. Official results now anchor the near-certain sub-10 percent outcome, though any lingering disputes over final tallies could theoretically affect resolution.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
市场开放时间： May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
交易量
$14,814结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Paloma Valencia finished the May 31 first round with roughly 6.9 percent of the vote, well below earlier polling averages of 15-25 percent that had positioned her as a viable center-right contender. Voter consolidation toward the more polarized Abelardo de la Espriella on the right and Iván Cepeda on the left sharply reduced support for establishment and moderate options. Campaign missteps, including public disputes with running mate Juan Daniel Oviedo and an inability to counter de la Espriella’s rapid gains through social media and evangelical mobilization, accelerated the decline. The Democratic Centre candidate’s primary strength proved insufficient against structural polarization that funneled conservative voters toward the leading right-wing alternative. Official results now anchor the near-certain sub-10 percent outcome, though any lingering disputes over final tallies could theoretically affect resolution.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
交易量
$14,814结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Paloma Valencia finished the May 31 first round with roughly 6.9 percent of the vote, well below earlier polling averages of 15-25 percent that had positioned her as a viable center-right contender. Voter consolidation toward the more polarized Abelardo de la Espriella on the right and Iván Cepeda on the left sharply reduced support for establishment and moderate options. Campaign missteps, including public disputes with running mate Juan Daniel Oviedo and an inability to counter de la Espriella’s rapid gains through social media and evangelical mobilization, accelerated the decline. The Democratic Centre candidate’s primary strength proved insufficient against structural polarization that funneled conservative voters toward the leading right-wing alternative. Official results now anchor the near-certain sub-10 percent outcome, though any lingering disputes over final tallies could theoretically affect resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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