**Closely matched probabilities around 50% reflect intense parity among leading AI labs in agentic coding for web development tasks.** On the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 models currently hold the top spot through strong multi-step reasoning and tool-use performance, yet rapid releases from OpenAI, ByteDance, Moonshot’s Kimi series, DeepSeek, and Z.ai have narrowed gaps in frontend coding benchmarks and real-world agentic workflows. Chinese labs in particular have posted competitive scores on SWE-Bench variants and live voting arenas, while OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants maintain strong all-around coding indices. Traders see limited differentiation until the next wave of model updates or leaderboard snapshots arrives before October resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Thinky 45%
Poolside 45%
SpaceXAI 45%
OpenAI 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
Thinky
45%
Poolside
45%
SpaceXAI
45%
OpenAI
44%
Meta
44%
Anthropic
44%
Z.ai
44%
MiniMax
44%
DeepSeek
44%
腾讯
44%
字节跳动
43%
Mistral
42%
阿里巴巴
41%
小米
27%
25%
Moonshot
24%
Thinky 45%
Poolside 45%
SpaceXAI 45%
OpenAI 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
Thinky
$0 交易量
45%
Poolside
$21 交易量
45%
SpaceXAI
$0 交易量
45%
OpenAI
$0 交易量
44%
Meta
$0 交易量
44%
Anthropic
$0 交易量
44%
Z.ai
$0 交易量
44%
MiniMax
$0 交易量
44%
DeepSeek
$0 交易量
44%
腾讯
$0 交易量
44%
字节跳动
$0 交易量
43%
Mistral
$0 交易量
42%
阿里巴巴
$0 交易量
41%
小米
$0 交易量
27%
$0 交易量
25%
Moonshot
$0 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Closely matched probabilities around 50% reflect intense parity among leading AI labs in agentic coding for web development tasks.** On the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 models currently hold the top spot through strong multi-step reasoning and tool-use performance, yet rapid releases from OpenAI, ByteDance, Moonshot’s Kimi series, DeepSeek, and Z.ai have narrowed gaps in frontend coding benchmarks and real-world agentic workflows. Chinese labs in particular have posted competitive scores on SWE-Bench variants and live voting arenas, while OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants maintain strong all-around coding indices. Traders see limited differentiation until the next wave of model updates or leaderboard snapshots arrives before October resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
交易量
$21结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Closely matched probabilities around 50% reflect intense parity among leading AI labs in agentic coding for web development tasks.** On the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 models currently hold the top spot through strong multi-step reasoning and tool-use performance, yet rapid releases from OpenAI, ByteDance, Moonshot’s Kimi series, DeepSeek, and Z.ai have narrowed gaps in frontend coding benchmarks and real-world agentic workflows. Chinese labs in particular have posted competitive scores on SWE-Bench variants and live voting arenas, while OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants maintain strong all-around coding indices. Traders see limited differentiation until the next wave of model updates or leaderboard snapshots arrives before October resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$21结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Closely matched probabilities around 50% reflect intense parity among leading AI labs in agentic coding for web development tasks.** On the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 models currently hold the top spot through strong multi-step reasoning and tool-use performance, yet rapid releases from OpenAI, ByteDance, Moonshot’s Kimi series, DeepSeek, and Z.ai have narrowed gaps in frontend coding benchmarks and real-world agentic workflows. Chinese labs in particular have posted competitive scores on SWE-Bench variants and live voting arenas, while OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants maintain strong all-around coding indices. Traders see limited differentiation until the next wave of model updates or leaderboard snapshots arrives before October resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题