Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a tight contest for June silver (SI) futures settlement with $70-$80 at 25.6% implied probability edging $80-$90 at 22.5%, reflecting spot's recent pullback to $81.42—down 2.38% on May 15 amid firmer Treasury yields and mixed manufacturing data—after smashing $88 highs last week on persistent supply deficits and surging industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics. This positioning aligns with J.P. Morgan's $81/oz 2026 average forecast and the Silver Institute's sixth straight annual market shortfall, bolstered by 152% year-to-date gains. Differentiating catalysts include Friday's PPI print, COMEX inventories, and China stimulus signals, versus hawkish Fed tones or USD strength.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于70-80美元 25.6%
80-90美元 22%
$90-$100 17%
100-115美元 15%
$576,326 交易量
$576,326 交易量
低于50美元
2%
50至60美元
2%
60-70美元
6%
70-80美元
26%
80-90美元
22%
$90-$100
17%
100-115美元
15%
>115美元
12%
70-80美元 25.6%
80-90美元 22%
$90-$100 17%
100-115美元 15%
$576,326 交易量
$576,326 交易量
低于50美元
2%
50至60美元
2%
60-70美元
6%
70-80美元
26%
80-90美元
22%
$90-$100
17%
100-115美元
15%
>115美元
12%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a tight contest for June silver (SI) futures settlement with $70-$80 at 25.6% implied probability edging $80-$90 at 22.5%, reflecting spot's recent pullback to $81.42—down 2.38% on May 15 amid firmer Treasury yields and mixed manufacturing data—after smashing $88 highs last week on persistent supply deficits and surging industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics. This positioning aligns with J.P. Morgan's $81/oz 2026 average forecast and the Silver Institute's sixth straight annual market shortfall, bolstered by 152% year-to-date gains. Differentiating catalysts include Friday's PPI print, COMEX inventories, and China stimulus signals, versus hawkish Fed tones or USD strength.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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