Polymarket traders price a 27.6% implied probability for silver (SI) June futures settling in the $70-$80 range, closely trailed by $60-$70 (17.6%) and $80-$90 (17.0%), reflecting whipsaw volatility after a 6% surge on US-China tariff truce news gave way to a 3% spot price drop to $84.66 on May 14 amid Middle East inflation fears and profit-taking. Persistent supply deficits—now in their sixth year per Silver Institute—and robust industrial demand from solar and electronics provide a floor near $70, but HSBC's revised 2026 average forecast of $75/oz signals narrowing gaps capping upside, with USD strength and Fed policy signals as key swing factors ahead of June settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于70-80美元 27.6%
60-70美元 17.8%
80-90美元 17%
$90-$100 11%
$585,124 交易量
$585,124 交易量
低于50美元
2%
50至60美元
3%
60-70美元
18%
70-80美元
28%
80-90美元
17%
$90-$100
11%
100-115美元
9%
>115美元
7%
70-80美元 27.6%
60-70美元 17.8%
80-90美元 17%
$90-$100 11%
$585,124 交易量
$585,124 交易量
低于50美元
2%
50至60美元
3%
60-70美元
18%
70-80美元
28%
80-90美元
17%
$90-$100
11%
100-115美元
9%
>115美元
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Polymarket traders price a 27.6% implied probability for silver (SI) June futures settling in the $70-$80 range, closely trailed by $60-$70 (17.6%) and $80-$90 (17.0%), reflecting whipsaw volatility after a 6% surge on US-China tariff truce news gave way to a 3% spot price drop to $84.66 on May 14 amid Middle East inflation fears and profit-taking. Persistent supply deficits—now in their sixth year per Silver Institute—and robust industrial demand from solar and electronics provide a floor near $70, but HSBC's revised 2026 average forecast of $75/oz signals narrowing gaps capping upside, with USD strength and Fed policy signals as key swing factors ahead of June settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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