The closely matched trader consensus in the Texas Senate race stems from lingering uncertainties in the Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, scheduled for May 26. Recent polls, including those from the University of Houston and Texas Public Opinion Research, show Democratic nominee James Talarico either leading or within a few points of both Republicans in general election matchups, highlighting potential vulnerabilities from intra-party divisions and turnout dynamics in urban and suburban areas. Texas's longstanding Republican voter registration advantage and historical Senate outcomes continue to support a modest edge for the eventual GOP candidate, while Democratic strength in major metros and national midterm patterns could narrow or widen the gap depending on primary resolution and subsequent campaign momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$204,518 交易量
$204,518 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
53%
民主党
47%
$204,518 交易量
$204,518 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$112,887 交易量
53%
民主党
$91,631 交易量
47%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The closely matched trader consensus in the Texas Senate race stems from lingering uncertainties in the Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, scheduled for May 26. Recent polls, including those from the University of Houston and Texas Public Opinion Research, show Democratic nominee James Talarico either leading or within a few points of both Republicans in general election matchups, highlighting potential vulnerabilities from intra-party divisions and turnout dynamics in urban and suburban areas. Texas's longstanding Republican voter registration advantage and historical Senate outcomes continue to support a modest edge for the eventual GOP candidate, while Democratic strength in major metros and national midterm patterns could narrow or widen the gap depending on primary resolution and subsequent campaign momentum.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$204,518结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The closely matched trader consensus in the Texas Senate race stems from lingering uncertainties in the Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, scheduled for May 26. Recent polls, including those from the University of Houston and Texas Public Opinion Research, show Democratic nominee James Talarico either leading or within a few points of both Republicans in general election matchups, highlighting potential vulnerabilities from intra-party divisions and turnout dynamics in urban and suburban areas. Texas's longstanding Republican voter registration advantage and historical Senate outcomes continue to support a modest edge for the eventual GOP candidate, while Democratic strength in major metros and national midterm patterns could narrow or widen the gap depending on primary resolution and subsequent campaign momentum.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$204,518结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely matched trader consensus in the Texas Senate race stems from lingering uncertainties in the Republican primary runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, scheduled for May 26. Recent polls, including those from the University of Houston and Texas Public Opinion Research, show Democratic nominee James Talarico either leading or within a few points of both Republicans in general election matchups, highlighting potential vulnerabilities from intra-party divisions and turnout dynamics in urban and suburban areas. Texas's longstanding Republican voter registration advantage and historical Senate outcomes continue to support a modest edge for the eventual GOP candidate, while Democratic strength in major metros and national midterm patterns could narrow or widen the gap depending on primary resolution and subsequent campaign momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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