BTS’s “Swim,” the lead single from the group’s fifth studio album Arirang, dominates trader sentiment in the VMA Best K-Pop market at 72% implied probability after earning dual nominations for Song of the Year and Best K-Pop. Its sustained global chart performance, including repeated No. 1 runs on Billboard’s Global Excl. U.S. tally and strong streaming numbers months after release, combined with BTS’s historic category dominance and dedicated ARMY voting bloc, has created overwhelming consensus. The remaining nominees—Lisa’s “Dream,” BLACKPINK’s “Jump,” LE SSERAFIM’s “Spaghetti” featuring J-Hope, Cortis’s “RedRed,” and Katseye’s “Pinky Up”—trail at single-digit or low odds, reflecting narrower fan mobilization and less cross-category momentum. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony set for September 27, any late shifts in social engagement or streaming spikes could still influence the outcome, though current positioning favors a clear frontrunner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于VMA最佳K-Pop 2026
VMA最佳K-Pop 2026
Swim（BTS） 88%
Dream（Lisa与坂口健太郎合作） 9%
RedRed（Cortis） 4.4%
Jump（Blackpink） 4.3%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
Swim（BTS）
88%
Dream（Lisa与坂口健太郎合作）
9%
RedRed（Cortis）
4%
Jump（Blackpink）
4%
Pinky Up（Katseye）
4%
Spaghetti（Le Sserafim与J-Hope合作）
4%
Swim（BTS） 88%
Dream（Lisa与坂口健太郎合作） 9%
RedRed（Cortis） 4.4%
Jump（Blackpink） 4.3%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
Swim（BTS）
$145 交易量
88%
Dream（Lisa与坂口健太郎合作）
$45 交易量
9%
RedRed（Cortis）
$24 交易量
4%
Jump（Blackpink）
$24 交易量
4%
Pinky Up（Katseye）
$22 交易量
4%
Spaghetti（Le Sserafim与J-Hope合作）
$22 交易量
4%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BTS’s “Swim,” the lead single from the group’s fifth studio album Arirang, dominates trader sentiment in the VMA Best K-Pop market at 72% implied probability after earning dual nominations for Song of the Year and Best K-Pop. Its sustained global chart performance, including repeated No. 1 runs on Billboard’s Global Excl. U.S. tally and strong streaming numbers months after release, combined with BTS’s historic category dominance and dedicated ARMY voting bloc, has created overwhelming consensus. The remaining nominees—Lisa’s “Dream,” BLACKPINK’s “Jump,” LE SSERAFIM’s “Spaghetti” featuring J-Hope, Cortis’s “RedRed,” and Katseye’s “Pinky Up”—trail at single-digit or low odds, reflecting narrower fan mobilization and less cross-category momentum. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony set for September 27, any late shifts in social engagement or streaming spikes could still influence the outcome, though current positioning favors a clear frontrunner.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
交易量
$282结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ETThe MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BTS’s “Swim,” the lead single from the group’s fifth studio album Arirang, dominates trader sentiment in the VMA Best K-Pop market at 72% implied probability after earning dual nominations for Song of the Year and Best K-Pop. Its sustained global chart performance, including repeated No. 1 runs on Billboard’s Global Excl. U.S. tally and strong streaming numbers months after release, combined with BTS’s historic category dominance and dedicated ARMY voting bloc, has created overwhelming consensus. The remaining nominees—Lisa’s “Dream,” BLACKPINK’s “Jump,” LE SSERAFIM’s “Spaghetti” featuring J-Hope, Cortis’s “RedRed,” and Katseye’s “Pinky Up”—trail at single-digit or low odds, reflecting narrower fan mobilization and less cross-category momentum. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony set for September 27, any late shifts in social engagement or streaming spikes could still influence the outcome, though current positioning favors a clear frontrunner.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$282结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ETBTS’s “Swim,” the lead single from the group’s fifth studio album Arirang, dominates trader sentiment in the VMA Best K-Pop market at 72% implied probability after earning dual nominations for Song of the Year and Best K-Pop. Its sustained global chart performance, including repeated No. 1 runs on Billboard’s Global Excl. U.S. tally and strong streaming numbers months after release, combined with BTS’s historic category dominance and dedicated ARMY voting bloc, has created overwhelming consensus. The remaining nominees—Lisa’s “Dream,” BLACKPINK’s “Jump,” LE SSERAFIM’s “Spaghetti” featuring J-Hope, Cortis’s “RedRed,” and Katseye’s “Pinky Up”—trail at single-digit or low odds, reflecting narrower fan mobilization and less cross-category momentum. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony set for September 27, any late shifts in social engagement or streaming spikes could still influence the outcome, though current positioning favors a clear frontrunner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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