Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads the VMA Best Pop 2026 market at a 66% implied probability, reflecting strong trader consensus around her sustained chart dominance, massive fan engagement, and historical success in the category. Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” sits at 17% as a credible challenger, while Olivia Rodrigo, Lisa, Charli XCX, Sabrina Carpenter, and Tate McRae trail in the single digits amid competitive release cycles. The broad field of additional options priced near 50% underscores ongoing uncertainty typical of early awards positioning, where critical reception, streaming metrics, and video performance can still shift momentum ahead of the ceremony.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于VMA最佳流行2026
VMA最佳流行2026
The Fate of Ophelia（泰勒·斯威夫特） 66%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（Ariana Grande） 18%
Drop Dead（奥利维亚·罗德里戈） 10%
Dream（Lisa与坂口健太郎合作） 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
The Fate of Ophelia（泰勒·斯威夫特）
66%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（Ariana Grande）
18%
Drop Dead（奥利维亚·罗德里戈）
10%
Dream（Lisa与坂口健太郎合作）
8%
SS26（Charli XCX）
6%
House Tour（Sabrina Carpenter）
6%
Nobody's Girl（Tate McRae）
6%
The Fate of Ophelia（泰勒·斯威夫特） 66%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（Ariana Grande） 18%
Drop Dead（奥利维亚·罗德里戈） 10%
Dream（Lisa与坂口健太郎合作） 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
The Fate of Ophelia（泰勒·斯威夫特）
$20 交易量
66%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（Ariana Grande）
$0 交易量
18%
Drop Dead（奥利维亚·罗德里戈）
$0 交易量
10%
Dream（Lisa与坂口健太郎合作）
$0 交易量
8%
SS26（Charli XCX）
$0 交易量
6%
House Tour（Sabrina Carpenter）
$0 交易量
6%
Nobody's Girl（Tate McRae）
$0 交易量
6%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads the VMA Best Pop 2026 market at a 66% implied probability, reflecting strong trader consensus around her sustained chart dominance, massive fan engagement, and historical success in the category. Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” sits at 17% as a credible challenger, while Olivia Rodrigo, Lisa, Charli XCX, Sabrina Carpenter, and Tate McRae trail in the single digits amid competitive release cycles. The broad field of additional options priced near 50% underscores ongoing uncertainty typical of early awards positioning, where critical reception, streaming metrics, and video performance can still shift momentum ahead of the ceremony.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETThe MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads the VMA Best Pop 2026 market at a 66% implied probability, reflecting strong trader consensus around her sustained chart dominance, massive fan engagement, and historical success in the category. Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” sits at 17% as a credible challenger, while Olivia Rodrigo, Lisa, Charli XCX, Sabrina Carpenter, and Tate McRae trail in the single digits amid competitive release cycles. The broad field of additional options priced near 50% underscores ongoing uncertainty typical of early awards positioning, where critical reception, streaming metrics, and video performance can still shift momentum ahead of the ceremony.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETTaylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads the VMA Best Pop 2026 market at a 66% implied probability, reflecting strong trader consensus around her sustained chart dominance, massive fan engagement, and historical success in the category. Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” sits at 17% as a credible challenger, while Olivia Rodrigo, Lisa, Charli XCX, Sabrina Carpenter, and Tate McRae trail in the single digits amid competitive release cycles. The broad field of additional options priced near 50% underscores ongoing uncertainty typical of early awards positioning, where critical reception, streaming metrics, and video performance can still shift momentum ahead of the ceremony.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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