Elevated mortgage rates near 6.6% continue to constrain buyer demand and affordability, anchoring trader consensus toward the <$419K outcome at 61% implied probability for the September 30 median home value. Recent data show mixed but mostly subdued price trends, with Redfin reporting a June median sale price of $408,776 (up just 2.2% year-over-year), NAR noting an all-time high near $440,600 in July amid flat 2026 forecasts from J.P. Morgan, and Zillow tracking typical values around $372K with limited appreciation. Thin existing-home supply has prevented sharper declines, yet rising inventory and softer pending sales point to modest downward pressure through quarter-end. Key upcoming releases on mortgage applications and inventory levels could refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于低于$419K 59.7%
$419K - $426K 31.4%
$426K - $433K 4.7%
$433K - $440K 2.3%
$54,017 交易量
$54,017 交易量
2026-09-30
低于$419K
60%
$419K - $426K
31%
$426K - $433K
5%
$433K - $440K
2%
44万 - 44.7万美元
<1%
$447K - $454K
<1%
$454,000以上
<1%
低于$419K 59.7%
$419K - $426K 31.4%
$426K - $433K 4.7%
$433K - $440K 2.3%
$54,017 交易量
$54,017 交易量
2026-09-30
低于$419K
$16,672 交易量
60%
$419K - $426K
$11,032 交易量
31%
$426K - $433K
$5,739 交易量
5%
$433K - $440K
$12,353 交易量
2%
44万 - 44.7万美元
$3,627 交易量
<1%
$447K - $454K
$4,053 交易量
<1%
$454,000以上
$542 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.6% continue to constrain buyer demand and affordability, anchoring trader consensus toward the <$419K outcome at 61% implied probability for the September 30 median home value. Recent data show mixed but mostly subdued price trends, with Redfin reporting a June median sale price of $408,776 (up just 2.2% year-over-year), NAR noting an all-time high near $440,600 in July amid flat 2026 forecasts from J.P. Morgan, and Zillow tracking typical values around $372K with limited appreciation. Thin existing-home supply has prevented sharper declines, yet rising inventory and softer pending sales point to modest downward pressure through quarter-end. Key upcoming releases on mortgage applications and inventory levels could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
交易量
$54,017结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.6% continue to constrain buyer demand and affordability, anchoring trader consensus toward the <$419K outcome at 61% implied probability for the September 30 median home value. Recent data show mixed but mostly subdued price trends, with Redfin reporting a June median sale price of $408,776 (up just 2.2% year-over-year), NAR noting an all-time high near $440,600 in July amid flat 2026 forecasts from J.P. Morgan, and Zillow tracking typical values around $372K with limited appreciation. Thin existing-home supply has prevented sharper declines, yet rising inventory and softer pending sales point to modest downward pressure through quarter-end. Key upcoming releases on mortgage applications and inventory levels could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
交易量
$54,017结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated mortgage rates near 6.6% continue to constrain buyer demand and affordability, anchoring trader consensus toward the <$419K outcome at 61% implied probability for the September 30 median home value. Recent data show mixed but mostly subdued price trends, with Redfin reporting a June median sale price of $408,776 (up just 2.2% year-over-year), NAR noting an all-time high near $440,600 in July amid flat 2026 forecasts from J.P. Morgan, and Zillow tracking typical values around $372K with limited appreciation. Thin existing-home supply has prevented sharper declines, yet rising inventory and softer pending sales point to modest downward pressure through quarter-end. Key upcoming releases on mortgage applications and inventory levels could refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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