Mortgage rates, which track the 10-year Treasury yield plus a spread, remain anchored near 6.5% as of mid-June 2026 amid sticky inflation that reached 4.2% in May and elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions. Traders price in limited Federal Reserve easing or potential hikes, with the federal funds rate held steady and the dot plot signaling a higher neutral rate around 3%. This environment has lifted benchmark yields and mortgage-backed securities spreads, preventing the declines once expected after 2024–2025 cuts. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release, FOMC decisions, and any shifts in Treasury supply or labor data that could alter rate-cut expectations before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
$50,255 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ 7.00%
40%
↑ 6.75%
39%
↓ 5.90%
57%
↓ 5.70%
22%
↓ 5.50%
-
$50,255 交易量
↑ 7.00%
$26 交易量
40%
↑ 6.75%
$131 交易量
39%
↓ 5.90%
$6,100 交易量
57%
↓ 5.70%
$6,923 交易量
22%
↓ 5.50%
$72 交易量
-
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates, which track the 10-year Treasury yield plus a spread, remain anchored near 6.5% as of mid-June 2026 amid sticky inflation that reached 4.2% in May and elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions. Traders price in limited Federal Reserve easing or potential hikes, with the federal funds rate held steady and the dot plot signaling a higher neutral rate around 3%. This environment has lifted benchmark yields and mortgage-backed securities spreads, preventing the declines once expected after 2024–2025 cuts. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release, FOMC decisions, and any shifts in Treasury supply or labor data that could alter rate-cut expectations before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
交易量
$50,255结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates, which track the 10-year Treasury yield plus a spread, remain anchored near 6.5% as of mid-June 2026 amid sticky inflation that reached 4.2% in May and elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions. Traders price in limited Federal Reserve easing or potential hikes, with the federal funds rate held steady and the dot plot signaling a higher neutral rate around 3%. This environment has lifted benchmark yields and mortgage-backed securities spreads, preventing the declines once expected after 2024–2025 cuts. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release, FOMC decisions, and any shifts in Treasury supply or labor data that could alter rate-cut expectations before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
交易量
$50,255结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mortgage rates, which track the 10-year Treasury yield plus a spread, remain anchored near 6.5% as of mid-June 2026 amid sticky inflation that reached 4.2% in May and elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions. Traders price in limited Federal Reserve easing or potential hikes, with the federal funds rate held steady and the dot plot signaling a higher neutral rate around 3%. This environment has lifted benchmark yields and mortgage-backed securities spreads, preventing the declines once expected after 2024–2025 cuts. Key upcoming catalysts include the next CPI release, FOMC decisions, and any shifts in Treasury supply or labor data that could alter rate-cut expectations before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题