The March 2026 Danish general election produced a fragmented Folketing with no majority for either the red or blue bloc, leaving 12 parties represented and forcing extended coalition negotiations. Caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen’s initial attempts to secure cross-bloc backing stalled after the Social Democrats posted their weakest result in over a century. In early May the king appointed Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen to explore a right-leaning government excluding the Social Democrats and Moderates, shifting focus toward potential participation by Venstre, Liberal Alliance, Conservatives, and Denmark Democrats. These talks remain fluid, with outcomes depending on which smaller parties agree to support policy compromises on welfare, defense, and EU relations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$125,491 交易量
社会民主党
82%
Moderates
91%
Danish Social Liberal Party
80%
文斯特党
59%
Green Left
33%
自由联盟
11%
丹麦人民党
6%
工会党
5%
Naleraq
8%
Red–Green Alliance
23%
另类党
2%
Citizens’ Party
2%
丹麦民主党
2%
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
1%
因纽特团结党
<1%
保守人民党
46%
$125,491 交易量
社会民主党
82%
Moderates
91%
Danish Social Liberal Party
80%
文斯特党
59%
Green Left
33%
自由联盟
11%
丹麦人民党
6%
工会党
5%
Naleraq
8%
Red–Green Alliance
23%
另类党
2%
Citizens’ Party
2%
丹麦民主党
2%
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
1%
因纽特团结党
<1%
保守人民党
46%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
市场开放时间: Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The March 2026 Danish general election produced a fragmented Folketing with no majority for either the red or blue bloc, leaving 12 parties represented and forcing extended coalition negotiations. Caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen’s initial attempts to secure cross-bloc backing stalled after the Social Democrats posted their weakest result in over a century. In early May the king appointed Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen to explore a right-leaning government excluding the Social Democrats and Moderates, shifting focus toward potential participation by Venstre, Liberal Alliance, Conservatives, and Denmark Democrats. These talks remain fluid, with outcomes depending on which smaller parties agree to support policy compromises on welfare, defense, and EU relations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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