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icon for 哪些政党将成为下一届丹麦政府的一部分?

哪些政党将成为下一届丹麦政府的一部分?

icon for 哪些政党将成为下一届丹麦政府的一部分?

哪些政党将成为下一届丹麦政府的一部分?

$125,491 交易量

2026-03-24
Polymarket

$125,491 交易量

Polymarket

社会民主党

$4,269 交易量

82%

Moderates

$4,811 交易量

91%

Danish Social Liberal Party

$2,288 交易量

80%

文斯特党

$17,108 交易量

59%

Green Left

$41,347 交易量

33%

自由联盟

$10,126 交易量

11%

丹麦人民党

$5,056 交易量

6%

工会党

$7,261 交易量

5%

Naleraq

$1,516 交易量

8%

Red–Green Alliance

$2,502 交易量

23%

另类党

$4,201 交易量

2%

Citizens’ Party

$3,352 交易量

2%

丹麦民主党

$5,796 交易量

2%

Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)

$13,878 交易量

1%

因纽特团结党

$1,426 交易量

<1%

保守人民党

$553 交易量

46%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.The March 2026 Danish general election produced a fragmented Folketing with no majority for either the red or blue bloc, leaving 12 parties represented and forcing extended coalition negotiations. Caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen’s initial attempts to secure cross-bloc backing stalled after the Social Democrats posted their weakest result in over a century. In early May the king appointed Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen to explore a right-leaning government excluding the Social Democrats and Moderates, shifting focus toward potential participation by Venstre, Liberal Alliance, Conservatives, and Denmark Democrats. These talks remain fluid, with outcomes depending on which smaller parties agree to support policy compromises on welfare, defense, and EU relations.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
交易量
$125,491
结束日期
2026-03-24
市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.The March 2026 Danish general election produced a fragmented Folketing with no majority for either the red or blue bloc, leaving 12 parties represented and forcing extended coalition negotiations. Caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen’s initial attempts to secure cross-bloc backing stalled after the Social Democrats posted their weakest result in over a century. In early May the king appointed Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen to explore a right-leaning government excluding the Social Democrats and Moderates, shifting focus toward potential participation by Venstre, Liberal Alliance, Conservatives, and Denmark Democrats. These talks remain fluid, with outcomes depending on which smaller parties agree to support policy compromises on welfare, defense, and EU relations.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
交易量
$125,491
结束日期
2026-03-24
市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哪些政党将成为下一届丹麦政府的一部分?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 16 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Moderates",概率为 91%,其次是"社会民主党",概率为 82%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 91¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 91%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"哪些政党将成为下一届丹麦政府的一部分?"已产生 $125.5K 的总交易量(自Mar 13, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪些政党将成为下一届丹麦政府的一部分?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 16 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪些政党将成为下一届丹麦政府的一部分?"的当前领先者是"Moderates",概率为 91%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 91%。紧随其后的结果是"社会民主党",概率为 82%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪些政党将成为下一届丹麦政府的一部分?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。