Denmark's March 2026 general election produced a highly fragmented Folketing, with the Social Democrats securing the largest share at 38 seats yet neither the red nor blue bloc reaching the 90-seat majority needed for government. Coalition talks led by caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen stalled after weeks of negotiations among more than a dozen parties, prompting King Frederik X in early May to transfer the mandate to Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen to explore a centre-right arrangement excluding the Social Democrats and Moderates. This shift highlights the pivotal role of smaller liberal and centrist groups in bridging divides over welfare, green transition, and foreign policy amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, including relations with the United States.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$125,641 交易量
2026-03-24
社会民主党
82%
Moderates
90%
Danish Social Liberal Party
80%
文斯特党
61%
Green Left
32%
自由联盟
11%
Naleraq
8%
工会党
5%
丹麦人民党
5%
Red–Green Alliance
22%
另类党
2%
丹麦民主党
2%
Citizens’ Party
1%
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
1%
因纽特团结党
<1%
保守人民党
43%
$125,641 交易量
社会民主党
$4,269 交易量
82%
Moderates
$4,811 交易量
90%
Danish Social Liberal Party
$2,438 交易量
80%
文斯特党
$17,108 交易量
61%
Green Left
$41,347 交易量
32%
自由联盟
$10,126 交易量
11%
Naleraq
$1,516 交易量
8%
工会党
$7,261 交易量
5%
丹麦人民党
$5,056 交易量
5%
Red–Green Alliance
$2,502 交易量
22%
另类党
$4,201 交易量
2%
丹麦民主党
$5,796 交易量
2%
Citizens’ Party
$3,352 交易量
1%
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
$13,878 交易量
1%
因纽特团结党
$1,426 交易量
<1%
保守人民党
$553 交易量
43%
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's March 2026 general election produced a highly fragmented Folketing, with the Social Democrats securing the largest share at 38 seats yet neither the red nor blue bloc reaching the 90-seat majority needed for government. Coalition talks led by caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen stalled after weeks of negotiations among more than a dozen parties, prompting King Frederik X in early May to transfer the mandate to Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen to explore a centre-right arrangement excluding the Social Democrats and Moderates. This shift highlights the pivotal role of smaller liberal and centrist groups in bridging divides over welfare, green transition, and foreign policy amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, including relations with the United States.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
市场开放时间： Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
交易量
$125,641结束日期
2026-03-24市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Denmark's March 2026 general election produced a highly fragmented Folketing, with the Social Democrats securing the largest share at 38 seats yet neither the red nor blue bloc reaching the 90-seat majority needed for government. Coalition talks led by caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen stalled after weeks of negotiations among more than a dozen parties, prompting King Frederik X in early May to transfer the mandate to Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen to explore a centre-right arrangement excluding the Social Democrats and Moderates. This shift highlights the pivotal role of smaller liberal and centrist groups in bridging divides over welfare, green transition, and foreign policy amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, including relations with the United States.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
交易量
$125,641结束日期
2026-03-24市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Denmark's March 2026 general election produced a highly fragmented Folketing, with the Social Democrats securing the largest share at 38 seats yet neither the red nor blue bloc reaching the 90-seat majority needed for government. Coalition talks led by caretaker Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen stalled after weeks of negotiations among more than a dozen parties, prompting King Frederik X in early May to transfer the mandate to Venstre leader Troels Lund Poulsen to explore a centre-right arrangement excluding the Social Democrats and Moderates. This shift highlights the pivotal role of smaller liberal and centrist groups in bridging divides over welfare, green transition, and foreign policy amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, including relations with the United States.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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