US and Iranian officials have issued conflicting statements in early August 2026 on the status of direct negotiations, with President Trump asserting that talks continue despite Iranian denials of any bilateral engagement. Efforts center on the Strait of Hormuz navigation and implementation of the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which set a 60-day window for finalizing terms ending around mid-August. Oman and Pakistan serve as primary mediators, with Qatar also facilitating related discussions; no high-level direct US-Iran round has been confirmed in recent weeks. Vice President JD Vance described the process as lengthy and complex. Any attendance by August 31 would likely involve technical teams or occur through third-party channels rather than principals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$90,401 交易量
2026-08-31
尼克·斯图尔特
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
32%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
马吉德·塔赫特-拉万奇
10%
Steve Witkoff
10%
贾里德·库什纳
10%
伊沙克·达尔
9%
Kazem Gharibabadi
8%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
8%
Rafael Grossi
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
6%
唐纳德·特朗普
4%
Pete Hegseth
4%
马克·卢比奥
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
J.D.万斯
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
$90,401 交易量
尼克·斯图尔特
$36 交易量
37%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$253 交易量
32%
Abbas Araghchi
$8,597 交易量
11%
马吉德·塔赫特-拉万奇
$2,891 交易量
10%
Steve Witkoff
$12,624 交易量
10%
贾里德·库什纳
$13,340 交易量
10%
伊沙克·达尔
$2,622 交易量
9%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,647 交易量
8%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,420 交易量
8%
Rafael Grossi
$881 交易量
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 交易量
6%
唐纳德·特朗普
$6,385 交易量
4%
Pete Hegseth
$2,568 交易量
4%
马克·卢比奥
$7,551 交易量
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 交易量
3%
J.D.万斯
$10,803 交易量
3%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,561 交易量
2%
Esmail Qaani
$456 交易量
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US and Iranian officials have issued conflicting statements in early August 2026 on the status of direct negotiations, with President Trump asserting that talks continue despite Iranian denials of any bilateral engagement. Efforts center on the Strait of Hormuz navigation and implementation of the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which set a 60-day window for finalizing terms ending around mid-August. Oman and Pakistan serve as primary mediators, with Qatar also facilitating related discussions; no high-level direct US-Iran round has been confirmed in recent weeks. Vice President JD Vance described the process as lengthy and complex. Any attendance by August 31 would likely involve technical teams or occur through third-party channels rather than principals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
交易量
$90,401结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US and Iranian officials have issued conflicting statements in early August 2026 on the status of direct negotiations, with President Trump asserting that talks continue despite Iranian denials of any bilateral engagement. Efforts center on the Strait of Hormuz navigation and implementation of the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which set a 60-day window for finalizing terms ending around mid-August. Oman and Pakistan serve as primary mediators, with Qatar also facilitating related discussions; no high-level direct US-Iran round has been confirmed in recent weeks. Vice President JD Vance described the process as lengthy and complex. Any attendance by August 31 would likely involve technical teams or occur through third-party channels rather than principals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$90,401结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Iranian officials have issued conflicting statements in early August 2026 on the status of direct negotiations, with President Trump asserting that talks continue despite Iranian denials of any bilateral engagement. Efforts center on the Strait of Hormuz navigation and implementation of the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which set a 60-day window for finalizing terms ending around mid-August. Oman and Pakistan serve as primary mediators, with Qatar also facilitating related discussions; no high-level direct US-Iran round has been confirmed in recent weeks. Vice President JD Vance described the process as lengthy and complex. Any attendance by August 31 would likely involve technical teams or occur through third-party channels rather than principals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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