Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, rooted in the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, remain stalled amid disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues, with the US claiming indirect talks continue while Iran insists it is engaging only Oman and denies direct dialogue with Washington. Mediators including Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman have facilitated recent technical exchanges and messages, but no new round involving senior US or Iranian officials has materialized in August. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, as the August 31 window leaves little time for breakthroughs before the 60-day MOU period concludes, though any verified diplomatic meeting or resumption of technical talks could shift probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$91,472 交易量
2026-08-31
Steve Witkoff
10%
贾里德·库什纳
9%
伊沙克·达尔
9%
Abbas Araghchi
9%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
9%
Kazem Gharibabadi
7%
Rafael Grossi
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
6%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
6%
尼克·斯图尔特
6%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Pete Hegseth
4%
马吉德·塔赫特-拉万奇
3%
马克·卢比奥
3%
J.D.万斯
3%
唐纳德·特朗普
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
$91,472 交易量
Steve Witkoff
$12,642 交易量
10%
贾里德·库什纳
$13,408 交易量
9%
伊沙克·达尔
$2,622 交易量
9%
Abbas Araghchi
$8,906 交易量
9%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,544 交易量
9%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,676 交易量
7%
Rafael Grossi
$881 交易量
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 交易量
6%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$253 交易量
6%
尼克·斯图尔特
$36 交易量
6%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 交易量
4%
Pete Hegseth
$2,568 交易量
4%
马吉德·塔赫特-拉万奇
$3,234 交易量
3%
马克·卢比奥
$7,551 交易量
3%
J.D.万斯
$10,868 交易量
3%
唐纳德·特朗普
$6,494 交易量
2%
Esmail Qaani
$456 交易量
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,567 交易量
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, rooted in the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, remain stalled amid disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues, with the US claiming indirect talks continue while Iran insists it is engaging only Oman and denies direct dialogue with Washington. Mediators including Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman have facilitated recent technical exchanges and messages, but no new round involving senior US or Iranian officials has materialized in August. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, as the August 31 window leaves little time for breakthroughs before the 60-day MOU period concludes, though any verified diplomatic meeting or resumption of technical talks could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
交易量
$91,472结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, rooted in the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, remain stalled amid disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues, with the US claiming indirect talks continue while Iran insists it is engaging only Oman and denies direct dialogue with Washington. Mediators including Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman have facilitated recent technical exchanges and messages, but no new round involving senior US or Iranian officials has materialized in August. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, as the August 31 window leaves little time for breakthroughs before the 60-day MOU period concludes, though any verified diplomatic meeting or resumption of technical talks could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$91,472结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, rooted in the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, remain stalled amid disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues, with the US claiming indirect talks continue while Iran insists it is engaging only Oman and denies direct dialogue with Washington. Mediators including Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman have facilitated recent technical exchanges and messages, but no new round involving senior US or Iranian officials has materialized in August. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, as the August 31 window leaves little time for breakthroughs before the 60-day MOU period concludes, though any verified diplomatic meeting or resumption of technical talks could shift probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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