Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s longest-serving justice at age 78, has given no public indication of retirement plans as of late August 2026. Multiple reports from April 2026 cited sources close to him stating he intends to remain on the bench beyond the current term and into the immediate future, consistent with his prior comments about serving well into the 2030s. Thomas recently marked a milestone as the second-longest-tenured justice in Court history and participated in an August 2026 podcast appearance without signaling any departure. President Trump has publicly encouraged both Thomas and Justice Samuel Alito to stay, citing the political risks of Senate confirmation fights. With no reported health concerns, ethics developments, or institutional pressure, traders assign low implied probabilities to a near-term announcement by late-2026 deadlines while pricing somewhat higher odds for 2027 or later.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-09-30
2026年9月30日
6%
2026年12月31日
8%
2027年6月30日
52%
$787 交易量
2026年9月30日
$26 交易量
6%
2026年12月31日
$749 交易量
8%
2027年6月30日
$11 交易量
52%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s longest-serving justice at age 78, has given no public indication of retirement plans as of late August 2026. Multiple reports from April 2026 cited sources close to him stating he intends to remain on the bench beyond the current term and into the immediate future, consistent with his prior comments about serving well into the 2030s. Thomas recently marked a milestone as the second-longest-tenured justice in Court history and participated in an August 2026 podcast appearance without signaling any departure. President Trump has publicly encouraged both Thomas and Justice Samuel Alito to stay, citing the political risks of Senate confirmation fights. With no reported health concerns, ethics developments, or institutional pressure, traders assign low implied probabilities to a near-term announcement by late-2026 deadlines while pricing somewhat higher odds for 2027 or later.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$787结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s longest-serving justice at age 78, has given no public indication of retirement plans as of late August 2026. Multiple reports from April 2026 cited sources close to him stating he intends to remain on the bench beyond the current term and into the immediate future, consistent with his prior comments about serving well into the 2030s. Thomas recently marked a milestone as the second-longest-tenured justice in Court history and participated in an August 2026 podcast appearance without signaling any departure. President Trump has publicly encouraged both Thomas and Justice Samuel Alito to stay, citing the political risks of Senate confirmation fights. With no reported health concerns, ethics developments, or institutional pressure, traders assign low implied probabilities to a near-term announcement by late-2026 deadlines while pricing somewhat higher odds for 2027 or later.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
交易量
$787结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ETClarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s longest-serving justice at age 78, has given no public indication of retirement plans as of late August 2026. Multiple reports from April 2026 cited sources close to him stating he intends to remain on the bench beyond the current term and into the immediate future, consistent with his prior comments about serving well into the 2030s. Thomas recently marked a milestone as the second-longest-tenured justice in Court history and participated in an August 2026 podcast appearance without signaling any departure. President Trump has publicly encouraged both Thomas and Justice Samuel Alito to stay, citing the political risks of Senate confirmation fights. With no reported health concerns, ethics developments, or institutional pressure, traders assign low implied probabilities to a near-term announcement by late-2026 deadlines while pricing somewhat higher odds for 2027 or later.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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