The United States and Iran have engaged in direct military confrontation since late February 2026 through joint U.S.-Israeli strikes and Iranian retaliatory actions, yet no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred. Ongoing ceasefire talks mediated by Pakistan, extended since early April, remain fragile amid disputes over Iran's nuclear program, compensation demands, and control of the Strait of Hormuz, where a U.S. naval blockade continues. Recent statements from President Trump rejecting Iranian counter-proposals and describing the truce as on "life support" highlight persistent tensions, while administration actions treat active hostilities as concluded to navigate War Powers Resolution timelines. These developments sustain trader views that any official war declaration would require a sharp escalation beyond current diplomatic maneuvering or renewed strikes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$7,523,536 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
7%
$7,523,536 交易量
12月31日
$550,902 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.The United States and Iran have engaged in direct military confrontation since late February 2026 through joint U.S.-Israeli strikes and Iranian retaliatory actions, yet no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred. Ongoing ceasefire talks mediated by Pakistan, extended since early April, remain fragile amid disputes over Iran's nuclear program, compensation demands, and control of the Strait of Hormuz, where a U.S. naval blockade continues. Recent statements from President Trump rejecting Iranian counter-proposals and describing the truce as on "life support" highlight persistent tensions, while administration actions treat active hostilities as concluded to navigate War Powers Resolution timelines. These developments sustain trader views that any official war declaration would require a sharp escalation beyond current diplomatic maneuvering or renewed strikes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
交易量
$7,523,536结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.The United States and Iran have engaged in direct military confrontation since late February 2026 through joint U.S.-Israeli strikes and Iranian retaliatory actions, yet no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred. Ongoing ceasefire talks mediated by Pakistan, extended since early April, remain fragile amid disputes over Iran's nuclear program, compensation demands, and control of the Strait of Hormuz, where a U.S. naval blockade continues. Recent statements from President Trump rejecting Iranian counter-proposals and describing the truce as on "life support" highlight persistent tensions, while administration actions treat active hostilities as concluded to navigate War Powers Resolution timelines. These developments sustain trader views that any official war declaration would require a sharp escalation beyond current diplomatic maneuvering or renewed strikes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$7,523,536结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States and Iran have engaged in direct military confrontation since late February 2026 through joint U.S.-Israeli strikes and Iranian retaliatory actions, yet no formal congressional declaration of war has occurred. Ongoing ceasefire talks mediated by Pakistan, extended since early April, remain fragile amid disputes over Iran's nuclear program, compensation demands, and control of the Strait of Hormuz, where a U.S. naval blockade continues. Recent statements from President Trump rejecting Iranian counter-proposals and describing the truce as on "life support" highlight persistent tensions, while administration actions treat active hostilities as concluded to navigate War Powers Resolution timelines. These developments sustain trader views that any official war declaration would require a sharp escalation beyond current diplomatic maneuvering or renewed strikes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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