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icon for 世界杯:单场黄牌打破纪录?

世界杯:单场黄牌打破纪录?

icon for 世界杯:单场黄牌打破纪录?

世界杯:单场黄牌打破纪录?

8% 概率
Polymarket

$10,011 交易量

8% 概率
Polymarket

$10,011 交易量

Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022). This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The record of 18 yellow cards in a single World Cup match, set during the 2022 Netherlands-Argentina quarterfinal, stands as a significant outlier driven by intense physical play and limited intervention. In the expanded 2026 tournament, traders assign a 92% implied probability that this mark holds because modern refereeing protocols, including VAR reviews and stricter foul management, reduce the likelihood of prolonged escalations into mass bookings. Early group-stage fixtures have featured occasional red cards but far fewer cumulative yellows, reflecting improved player discipline and tactical caution. Yellow-card reset rules after the group stage and quarterfinals further discourage accumulation-heavy games, while the broader field of 48 teams dilutes opportunities for the exact high-stakes, heated matchups needed to challenge the benchmark.

Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022).

This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$10,011
结束日期
2026-07-20
市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022). This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022). This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The record of 18 yellow cards in a single World Cup match, set during the 2022 Netherlands-Argentina quarterfinal, stands as a significant outlier driven by intense physical play and limited intervention. In the expanded 2026 tournament, traders assign a 92% implied probability that this mark holds because modern refereeing protocols, including VAR reviews and stricter foul management, reduce the likelihood of prolonged escalations into mass bookings. Early group-stage fixtures have featured occasional red cards but far fewer cumulative yellows, reflecting improved player discipline and tactical caution. Yellow-card reset rules after the group stage and quarterfinals further discourage accumulation-heavy games, while the broader field of 48 teams dilutes opportunities for the exact high-stakes, heated matchups needed to challenge the benchmark.

Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022).

This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$10,011
结束日期
2026-07-20
市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022). This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"世界杯:单场黄牌打破纪录?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 8%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 8¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 8%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"世界杯:单场黄牌打破纪录?"已产生 $10K 的总交易量(自Jun 8, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"世界杯:单场黄牌打破纪录?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"世界杯:单场黄牌打破纪录?"的当前概率为 8%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 8%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"世界杯:单场黄牌打破纪录?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。