The early stages of the 2026 FIFA World Cup highlight a tight contest among co-hosts Canada, the United States, and Mexico for worst overall placement, driven by comparable roster strengths and variable group paths. Pre-tournament FIFA rankings placed the USMNT and Mexico nearly level in the global top 20, while Canada sat further back, yet all three benefited from automatic qualification and a 48-team field that favors group-stage survival. Mexico opened with a 2-0 win over South Africa in Group A, bolstering momentum, whereas Canada’s defensive record in recent friendlies and the USMNT’s schedule against Paraguay, Australia, and Türkiye create balanced uncertainty. Home crowds, travel factors across North America, and the expanded knockout bracket add variables that compress implied probabilities around Canada and alternative outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on closely matched CONCACAF sides rather than a clear laggard.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Canada 54%
USA 25%
Mexico 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
Canada
54%
Mexico
12%
USA
25%
Canada 54%
USA 25%
Mexico 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
Canada
$675 交易量
54%
Mexico
$306 交易量
12%
USA
$592 交易量
25%
This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early stages of the 2026 FIFA World Cup highlight a tight contest among co-hosts Canada, the United States, and Mexico for worst overall placement, driven by comparable roster strengths and variable group paths. Pre-tournament FIFA rankings placed the USMNT and Mexico nearly level in the global top 20, while Canada sat further back, yet all three benefited from automatic qualification and a 48-team field that favors group-stage survival. Mexico opened with a 2-0 win over South Africa in Group A, bolstering momentum, whereas Canada’s defensive record in recent friendlies and the USMNT’s schedule against Paraguay, Australia, and Türkiye create balanced uncertainty. Home crowds, travel factors across North America, and the expanded knockout bracket add variables that compress implied probabilities around Canada and alternative outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on closely matched CONCACAF sides rather than a clear laggard.
This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
交易量
$1,573结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early stages of the 2026 FIFA World Cup highlight a tight contest among co-hosts Canada, the United States, and Mexico for worst overall placement, driven by comparable roster strengths and variable group paths. Pre-tournament FIFA rankings placed the USMNT and Mexico nearly level in the global top 20, while Canada sat further back, yet all three benefited from automatic qualification and a 48-team field that favors group-stage survival. Mexico opened with a 2-0 win over South Africa in Group A, bolstering momentum, whereas Canada’s defensive record in recent friendlies and the USMNT’s schedule against Paraguay, Australia, and Türkiye create balanced uncertainty. Home crowds, travel factors across North America, and the expanded knockout bracket add variables that compress implied probabilities around Canada and alternative outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on closely matched CONCACAF sides rather than a clear laggard.
This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed Host nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,573结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The early stages of the 2026 FIFA World Cup highlight a tight contest among co-hosts Canada, the United States, and Mexico for worst overall placement, driven by comparable roster strengths and variable group paths. Pre-tournament FIFA rankings placed the USMNT and Mexico nearly level in the global top 20, while Canada sat further back, yet all three benefited from automatic qualification and a 48-team field that favors group-stage survival. Mexico opened with a 2-0 win over South Africa in Group A, bolstering momentum, whereas Canada’s defensive record in recent friendlies and the USMNT’s schedule against Paraguay, Australia, and Türkiye create balanced uncertainty. Home crowds, travel factors across North America, and the expanded knockout bracket add variables that compress implied probabilities around Canada and alternative outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on closely matched CONCACAF sides rather than a clear laggard.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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