The strong Republican tilt of Arkansas's 1st Congressional District, reflected in its R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent Rick Crawford secured the party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist with limited statewide profile. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Crawford's 72.9 percent victory in 2024. Trader consensus accounts for the district's rural, conservative voter base and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in turnout patterns. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or significant national political realignment could narrow the margin, though historical base rates show few such upsets in comparably partisan districts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAR-01 House Election Winner
AR-01 House Election Winner
$18,687 Vol.
$18,687 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
$18,687 Vol.
$18,687 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,115 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$7,571 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Arkansas's 1st Congressional District, reflected in its R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent Rick Crawford secured the party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist with limited statewide profile. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Crawford's 72.9 percent victory in 2024. Trader consensus accounts for the district's rural, conservative voter base and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in turnout patterns. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or significant national political realignment could narrow the margin, though historical base rates show few such upsets in comparably partisan districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ভলিউম
$18,687শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Arkansas's 1st Congressional District, reflected in its R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent Rick Crawford secured the party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist with limited statewide profile. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Crawford's 72.9 percent victory in 2024. Trader consensus accounts for the district's rural, conservative voter base and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in turnout patterns. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or significant national political realignment could narrow the margin, though historical base rates show few such upsets in comparably partisan districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$18,687শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican tilt of Arkansas's 1st Congressional District, reflected in its R+23 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. Incumbent Rick Crawford secured the party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist with limited statewide profile. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Crawford's 72.9 percent victory in 2024. Trader consensus accounts for the district's rural, conservative voter base and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in turnout patterns. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or significant national political realignment could narrow the margin, though historical base rates show few such upsets in comparably partisan districts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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